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Sumsel United v Persikad Depok FC

Sumsel United
2–1Full time
Persikad Depok FC

Liga 2 · SUN 18 OCT · Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06
Sumsel United 2–1 Persikad Depok FC SUMSEL UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sumsel United win55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.298

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sumsel United win at 55%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sumsel United 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–22–23
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sumsel United v Persikad Depok FC
  4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Sumsel United
  5. 16′Sumsel United score on 16′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
  6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Sumsel United 1–0 Persikad Depok FC
  7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
  8. 17′We said Sumsel United at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–15–9
  9. 20′15′: A. Subhi on the scoresheet for Sumsel United, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–15–8
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 77–15–8
  11. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Sumsel United
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Sumsel United 1–0 Persikad Depok FC
  13. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Persikad Depok FC
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Sumsel United 1–0 Persikad Depok FC
  15. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Sumsel United
  16. 56′Persikad Depok FC find the net on 56′. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–40–20
  17. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Sumsel United 1–1 Persikad Depok FC
  18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 39% now
  19. 57′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–41–20
  20. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Sumsel United win 37%)
  21. 62′Persikad Depok FC level it on 55′ through an own goal by F. Damara. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–45–19
  22. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
  23. 64′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–18
  24. 66′A goal for Persikad Depok FC on 66′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–25–67
  25. 66′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–25–67
  26. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Sumsel United 1–2 Persikad Depok FC
  27. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 8% now
  28. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Persikad Depok FC win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 25%)
  29. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Persikad Depok FC
  30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
  31. 74′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
  32. 79′Sumsel United score on 78′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 19–69–11
  33. 79′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–11
  34. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Sumsel United 2–2 Persikad Depok FC
  35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 19% now
  36. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Persikad Depok FC win 11%)
  37. 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–72–10
  38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
  39. 83′We said Sumsel United at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–79–8
  40. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Sumsel United win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
  41. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Persikad Depok FC
  42. FTFULL TIME Sumsel United 2–2 Persikad Depok FC
  43. FTSumsel United 2–1 Persikad Depok FC · Sumsel United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sumsel United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sumsel United 55%, draw 21%, Persikad Depok FC 23%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Sumsel United v Persikad Depok FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sumsel United win55%
Draw21%
Persikad Depok FC win23%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueGelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring

Line-ups

Sumsel United

Persikad Depok FC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sumsel United

Persikad Depok FC

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Persikad Depok FC5012
11Sumsel United5+27

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sumsel United

Formation not confirmed

81 R. Ramadhan

34 F. Damara

28 A. Satria

4 R. Akbar

78 W. Poru

6 T. Pangestu

16 C. Bhagascara

22 T. Darmawan

14 H. Mochizuki

27 A. Subhi

32 K. Ngwoke

Coach · –

Substitutes

64 · P. Triatmojo

5 · D. Atapelwa

9 · D. Hartono

10 · Felipe Ryan

11 · K. Toyo

21 · Zakaria

23 · R. Dimas

25 · F. Sokoy

26 · K. Vedhayanto

47 · D. Hardi

55 · W. Habiby

99 · F. Firdaus

Persikad Depok FC

Formation not confirmed

48 D. Al Gasemi

14 I. Wiranda

2 H. O. Fofana

32 Y. Safrizal

30 R. Saputra

33 P. Al Mudzaki

53 D. Gultom

24 G. Alviqi

21 N. Sitepu

10 J. E. Mena Perez

9 Gustavo Franca

Coach · –

Substitutes

23 · Y. Petra

5 · R. Ananda

12 · F. Ardiansyah

15 · F. Firdaus

16 · Ibnu Yazid

17 · R. Tawainella

26 · R. Badawi

27 · F. Ramadoni

77 · Y. Tawainella

Our number · sumsel united winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make Sumsel United a 55% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sumsel United v Persikad Depok FC2.06 – 1.25
Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 SeptW2 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L1
Table places · points 7 v 1211 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sumsel United win55%––
Draw21%––
Persikad Depok FC win23%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals42%––
Sumsel United or draw77%––
Sumsel United clean sheet30%––
Persikad Depok FC clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 4.3 4.6 3.0 1 7.7 9.5 5.7 2.4 2 7.8 9.2 5.6 2.4 3 5.3 6.2 3.8 4 2.8 3.3 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sumsel United down, Persikad Depok FC across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSUM 1–1 PER · SUM 3–1 PER · PER 0–1 SUM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

SUMSEL UNITED

DLLWW2–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 5–1

PERSIKAD DEPOK FC

WWWLW2–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tornado Pekanbaru6+1214
2Deltras5+913
3Persela Lamongan6+913
4RANS Nusantara6+713
5PSPS5+312
6Persikad Depok FC5012
7PSMS Medan6+1011
8Persipura Jayapura6+48
9Semen Padang6+18
10PSIS Semarang508
11Sumsel United5+27
12Barito Putera5+17
13PSGC Ciamis6−47
14Persis Solo5+35
15Bekasi City6+15
16Dejan5−25
17Persiraja Banda Aceh6−24
18Persiku Kudus4−111
19Persiba Balikpapan6−100
20PSBS Biak Numfor6−330

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.