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Model 1.2

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Semen Padang v Sumsel United

Semen Padang
12:00Upcoming
Sumsel United

Liga 2 · FRI 30 OCT · Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Semen PadangDrawSumsel United
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Semen Padang 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Semen Padang are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Semen Padang 48%, draw 27%, Sumsel United 25%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Semen Padang v Sumsel UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Semen Padang win48%
Draw27%
Sumsel United win25%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueStadion GOR Haji Agus Salim

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Semen Padang

Sumsel United

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Sumsel United7+311
11Semen Padang7+211

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · semen padang winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Semen Padang a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Semen Padang v Sumsel United1.46 – 0.96
Form · last six in Liga 2 this season · since 19 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 11 v 1111 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Semen Padang win48%––
Draw27%––
Sumsel United win25%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Semen Padang or draw75%––
Semen Padang clean sheet39%––
Sumsel United clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%
0123450 10.0 8.5 4.3 1 12.7 12.2 5.8 2 9.2 8.4 4.1 3 4.6 4.1 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Semen Padang down, Sumsel United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 2 this season · since 19 Sept

SEMEN PADANG

DWLLDW1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1

SUMSEL UNITED

LLWWWD0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1PSPS7+718
2Tornado Pekanbaru7+1215
3Deltras7+915
4RANS Nusantara7+714
5Persela Lamongan6+913
6Barito Putera7+613
7Persikad Depok FC7−212
8PSMS Medan6+1011
9Persipura Jayapura7+811
10Sumsel United7+311
11Semen Padang7+211
12PSIS Semarang508
13Persis Solo7+37
14Persiraja Banda Aceh7−17
15PSGC Ciamis7−57
16Bekasi City7+16
17Dejan6−45
18Persiku Kudus6−151
19Persiba Balikpapan7−140
20PSBS Biak Numfor7−360

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.