RANS Nusantara v Tornado Pekanbaru prediction · Liga 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RANS NusantaraDrawTornado Pekanbaru

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Tornado Pekanbaru 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tornado Pekanbaru are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RANS Nusantara 23%, draw 22%, Tornado Pekanbaru 55%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on RANS Nusantara v Tornado PekanbaruBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

RANS Nusantara win23%

Draw22%

Tornado Pekanbaru win55%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 8

VenuePakansari Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RANS Nusantara

Tornado Pekanbaru

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	7	+12	15
4	RANS Nusantara	7	+7	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tornado pekanbaru winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Tornado Pekanbaru a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RANS Nusantara v Tornado Pekanbaru~~1.23 – 2.06

~~Form · last six in Liga 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 15~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tornado Pekanbaru win

Published at 58%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RANS Nusantara win	23%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Tornado Pekanbaru win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
RANS Nusantara or draw	45%	–	–
RANS Nusantara clean sheet	14%	–	–
Tornado Pekanbaru clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.6 7.8 7.8 5.3 2.8 1 4.8 9.6 9.0 6.1 3.2 2 3.0 5.7 5.5 3.7 3 2.4 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RANS Nusantara down, Tornado Pekanbaru across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,115 Liga 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.2% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

RANS Nusantara at home: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Tornado Pekanbaru away: 1.33 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for RANS Nusantara, 2.06 for Tornado Pekanbaru. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 2 this season · since 18 Sept

RANS NUSANTARA

DLWWWD3–3 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

TORNADO PEKANBARU

DDWWWD0–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 6–0 · 3–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	7	+7	18
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	7	+12	15
3	Deltras	7	+9	15
4	RANS Nusantara	7	+7	14
5	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
6	Barito Putera	7	+6	13
7	Persikad Depok FC	7	−2	12
8	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
9	Persipura Jayapura	7	+8	11
10	Sumsel United	7	+3	11
11	Semen Padang	7	+2	11
12	PSIS Semarang	5	0	8
13	Persis Solo	7	+3	7
14	Persiraja Banda Aceh	7	−1	7
15	PSGC Ciamis	7	−5	7
16	Bekasi City	7	+1	6
17	Dejan	6	−4	5
18	Persiku Kudus	6	−15	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	7	−14	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	7	−36	0