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Model 1.2

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PSMS Medan v PSIS Semarang

PSMS Medan
12:00Upcoming
PSIS Semarang

Liga 2 · SUN 25 OCT · Stadion Teladan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PSMS MedanDrawPSIS Semarang
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · PSMS Medan 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

PSMS Medan are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: PSMS Medan 68%, draw 20%, PSIS Semarang 12%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on PSMS Medan v PSIS SemarangBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

PSMS Medan win68%
Draw20%
PSIS Semarang win12%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueStadion Teladan

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

PSMS Medan

PSIS Semarang

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8PSMS Medan6+1011
12PSIS Semarang508

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · psms medan winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
68% The market–
Us68%

We make PSMS Medan a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · PSMS Medan v PSIS Semarang2.06 – 0.69
Form · Liga 2 this season · since 11 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L1
Table places · points 11 v 88 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
PSMS Medan win68%––
Draw20%––
PSIS Semarang win12%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
PSMS Medan or draw88%––
PSMS Medan clean sheet51%––
PSIS Semarang clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%
0123450 7.3 4.5 1 13.1 9.2 3.2 2 13.1 8.8 3.1 3 8.9 5.9 2.1 4 4.8 3.1 5 2.2
under 2% 5% 12%+PSMS Medan down, PSIS Semarang across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 11 Sept

PSMS MEDAN

DWWWLD2–2 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

PSIS SEMARANG

WDWLD2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1PSPS7+718
2Tornado Pekanbaru7+1215
3Deltras7+915
4RANS Nusantara7+714
5Persela Lamongan6+913
6Barito Putera7+613
7Persikad Depok FC7−212
8PSMS Medan6+1011
9Persipura Jayapura7+811
10Sumsel United7+311
11Semen Padang7+211
12PSIS Semarang508
13Persis Solo7+37
14Persiraja Banda Aceh7−17
15PSGC Ciamis7−57
16Bekasi City7+16
17Dejan6−45
18Persiku Kudus6−151
19Persiba Balikpapan7−140
20PSBS Biak Numfor7−360

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.