PSBS Biak Numfor v Persipura Jayapura prediction · Liga 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

PSBS Biak Numfor 1–6 Persipura Jayapura PERSIPURA JAYAPURA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persipura Jayapura win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.139

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persipura Jayapura are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: PSBS Biak Numfor 14%, draw 17%, Persipura Jayapura 70%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on PSBS Biak Numfor v Persipura JayapuraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

PSBS Biak Numfor win14%

Draw17%

Persipura Jayapura win70%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueCendrawasih Stadium

Line-ups

PSBS Biak Numfor

Persipura Jayapura

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

PSBS Biak Numfor

Persipura Jayapura

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	5	−28	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

PSBS Biak Numfor

Formation not confirmed

20 M. Ilhan

11 W. Naufal

12 A. Tri

19 F. Galih

23 P. Susilo

27 R. Aji

32 P. Rumere

33 K. Zidan

44 M. Madjar

77 F. Nabil

98 S. Gwijangge

Coach · Marian Mihail

Substitutes

22 · L. Andreas

89 · K. Maheswara

14 · I. Rumbewas

17 · A. Sumantri

31 · R. Oktavian

43 · R. Rihhadatul

49 · S. Alwansyah

66 · G. Ganendra

Persipura Jayapura

Formation not confirmed

36 A. Al Hakim

4 Ricardo Lima

5 S. Kansai

7 R. Salampessy

13 I. Kabes

20 E. Basna

24 F. Uopmabin

33 G. Mandowen

44 B. Ragil

47 G. Waicang

82 J. Sroyer

Coach · –

Substitutes

27 · R. Oscario

3 · T. Shouter

6 · Y. Amohoso

12 · R. Sunuk

14 · R. Sanadi

16 · A. Dusay

21 · Y. Pae

26 · A. Rumboirusi

46 · Todd Ferre

78 · P. Sibetai

97 · Alexsandro

Our number · persipura jayapura winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Persipura Jayapura a 70% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.7, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · PSBS Biak Numfor v Persipura Jayapura~~1.00 – 2.70

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L5 · W1 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 5~~20 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
PSBS Biak Numfor win	14%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Persipura Jayapura win	70%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor or draw	30%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor clean sheet	9%	–	–
Persipura Jayapura clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.6%

0123450 3.5 7.3 8.6 7.2 4.9 3.01 3.2 7.4 8.3 6.7 4.4 2.62 3.8 4.2 3.4 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+PSBS Biak Numfor down, Persipura Jayapura across0–5 goals a side shown (91.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,098 Liga 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

PSBS Biak Numfor at home: 2.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Persipura Jayapura away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for PSBS Biak Numfor, 2.70 for Persipura Jayapura. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~PSB 3–1 PER · PER 1–1 PSB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

PSBS BIAK NUMFOR

LLLLL0–5 · 0–7 · 0–6 · 1–5 · 0–6

PERSIPURA JAYAPURA

LDDWL2–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
2	Persela Lamongan	5	+10	13
3	Deltras	5	+9	13
4	PSPS	5	+3	12
5	Persikad Depok FC	5	0	12
6	PSMS Medan	5	+10	10
7	RANS Nusantara	5	+6	10
8	Sumsel United	5	+2	7
9	Barito Putera	5	+1	7
10	Semen Padang	5	+1	7
11	PSIS Semarang	4	0	7
12	PSGC Ciamis	5	−4	6
13	Persis Solo	5	+3	5
14	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
15	Dejan	5	−2	5
16	Bekasi City	5	+1	4
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3
18	Persiku Kudus	4	−11	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	6	−10	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	5	−28	0