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PSBS Biak Numfor v Barito Putera

PSBS Biak Numfor

0–3Full time

Barito Putera

Liga 2 · FRI 23 OCT · Cendrawasih Stadium

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 15:31

PSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Barito Putera BARITO PUTERA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Barito Putera win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.098

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Barito Putera win at 74%.
1′Much as we predicted: Barito Putera was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 12–14–74
1′KICK-OFF PSBS Biak Numfor v Barito Putera
18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Barito Putera
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Barito Putera win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
42′We said Barito Putera at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 13–24–62
42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' PSBS Biak Numfor
45′HALF-TIME PSBS Biak Numfor 0–1 Barito Putera
46′Barito Putera find the net on 45′. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–10–87
46′We published Barito Putera at 74%. Our model now makes it 87%. 0–1 · 3–10–87
46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' PSBS Biak Numfor 0–1 Barito Putera
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Barito Putera win: 74% at kick-off, 87% now
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barito Putera · On: Ferdiansyah · Off: K. Nagashima
46′SECOND HALF PSBS Biak Numfor 0–1 Barito Putera
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barito Putera · On: K. Howay · Off: G. Edginataqi
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barito Putera · On: R. Pora · Off: B. Kahfi
48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' PSBS Biak Numfor
50′A goal for Barito Putera on 49′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
50′We published Barito Putera at 74%. Our model now makes it 97%. 0–2 · 0–2–97
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' PSBS Biak Numfor 0–2 Barito Putera
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Barito Putera win: 74% at kick-off, 97% now
51′Alves Renan scores for Barito Putera on 48′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
68′Barito Putera score on 68′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' PSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Barito Putera
69′67′: Alves Renan on the scoresheet for Barito Putera, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
70′We published Barito Putera at 74%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
70′Goals are coming at about the 4.2 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: S. Alwansyah · Off: F. Nabil
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Barito Putera · On: Gustur CP · Off: A. Daffa
92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' PSBS Biak Numfor · On: R. Oktavian · Off: F. Galih
FTFULL TIME PSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Barito Putera
FTPSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Barito Putera · Barito Putera win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Barito Putera are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: PSBS Biak Numfor 12%, draw 14%, Barito Putera 74%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on PSBS Biak Numfor v Barito PuteraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

PSBS Biak Numfor win12%

Draw14%

Barito Putera win74%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueCendrawasih Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

PSBS Biak Numfor

Barito Putera

6Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Barito Putera	6	+3	10
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	6	−33	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · barito putera winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Barito Putera a 74% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–3.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · PSBS Biak Numfor v Barito Putera~~1.06 – 3.19

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 10~~20 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Barito Putera win

Published at 69%, 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
PSBS Biak Numfor win	12%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Barito Putera win	74%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor or draw	26%	–	–
PSBS Biak Numfor clean sheet	7%	–	–
Barito Putera clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.5%

0123450 2.4 5.4 7.3 6.8 5.2 3.51 2.2 6.0 7.5 6.8 5.0 3.32 3.1 4.0 3.6 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+PSBS Biak Numfor down, Barito Putera across0–5 goals a side shown (86.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,107 Liga 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

PSBS Biak Numfor at home: 2.33 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Barito Putera away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for PSBS Biak Numfor, 3.19 for Barito Putera. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~PSB 2–1 BAR · BAR 0–3 PSB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

PSBS BIAK NUMFOR

LLLLLL0–5 · 0–7 · 0–6 · 1–5 · 0–6 · 1–6

BARITO PUTERA

WLDLWW3–2 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	6	+6	15
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
3	Deltras	6	+9	14
4	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
5	RANS Nusantara	6	+7	13
6	Persikad Depok FC	6	−1	12
7	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
8	Persipura Jayapura	7	+8	11
9	Sumsel United	6	+3	10
10	Barito Putera	6	+3	10
11	Semen Padang	6	+1	8
12	PSIS Semarang	5	0	8
13	PSGC Ciamis	6	−4	7
14	Persis Solo	6	+3	6
15	Bekasi City	6	+1	5
16	Dejan	6	−4	5
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	6	−2	4
18	Persiku Kudus	5	−14	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	7	−14	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	6	−33	0