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Persis Solo v RANS Nusantara

Persis Solo
2–2Full time
RANS Nusantara

Liga 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Manahan Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Persis Solo 2–2 RANS Nusantara PERSIS SOLO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Persis Solo win70%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.212
The market’s Brier score0.853

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Persis Solo win at 70%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Persis Solo 70% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–16–15
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Persis Solo v RANS Nusantara
  4. 12′RANS Nusantara score on 11′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 46–21–33
  5. 12′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–1 · 46–21–33
  6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Persis Solo 0–1 RANS Nusantara
  7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 46% now
  8. 17′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–22–34
  9. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' RANS Nusantara
  10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 40% now
  11. 28′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–24–37
  12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.1 we expected. 0–1 · 38–24–38
  13. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' RANS Nusantara win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Persis Solo win 38%)
  14. 38′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–25–40
  15. 45′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 1–1 · 57–28–16
  16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Persis Solo 1–1 RANS Nusantara
  18. 46′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Persis Solo 1–1 RANS Nusantara
  20. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persis Solo · On: D. A. Djin · Off: F. Eka Corrected
  21. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' RANS Nusantara · On: A. Inzaghi · Off: R. Setiawan Corrected
  22. 51′Persis Solo find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 54–31–16
  23. 51′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–31–16
  24. 51′⚽ GOAL · 45+6' Persis Solo 1–1 RANS Nusantara
  25. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+6' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 54% now
  26. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+6' Persis Solo win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was RANS Nusantara win 46%)
  27. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 45+8' Persis Solo
  28. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Persis Solo
  29. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Persis Solo
  30. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 50% now
  31. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Persis Solo
  32. 68′A goal for RANS Nusantara on 68′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–28–59
  33. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Persis Solo 1–2 RANS Nusantara
  34. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 13% now
  35. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' RANS Nusantara win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Persis Solo win 43%)
  36. 69′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–2 · 13–27–60
  37. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
  38. 73′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
  39. 80′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
  40. 81′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–69–8
  41. 82′Persis Solo score on 81′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 21–72–8
  42. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 64' RANS Nusantara · On: A. Inzaghi · Off: D. Angga
  43. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Persis Solo 2–2 RANS Nusantara
  44. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 21% now
  45. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was RANS Nusantara win 77%)
  46. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Persis Solo · On: D. A. Djin · Off: E. Taufik
  47. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Persis Solo · On: A. Mujadid · Off: T. Leeming
  48. 83′80′: A. Harjito on the scoresheet for Persis Solo, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 19–74–7
  49. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Persis Solo · On: S. Balinsa · Off: Vico Duarte
  50. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Persis Solo · On: A. Harjito · Off: D. Habibullah
  51. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 76' RANS Nusantara · On: V. Akbar · Off: B. Aji
  52. 84′We said Persis Solo at 70%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–77–6
  53. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Persis Solo win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
  54. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' RANS Nusantara · On: M. Rafli · Off: A. Aqyuba
  55. FTFULL TIME Persis Solo 2–2 RANS Nusantara
  56. FTPersis Solo 2–2 RANS Nusantara · Persis Solo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persis Solo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persis Solo 70%, draw 16%, RANS Nusantara 15%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Persis Solo v RANS NusantaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Persis Solo win70%
Draw16%
RANS Nusantara win15%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueManahan Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persis Solo

RANS Nusantara

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5RANS Nusantara6+713
14Persis Solo6+36

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · persis solo winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
70% The market43%
Us70%
Market43%

We make Persis Solo a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 27 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.9–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Persis Solo v RANS Nusantara2.94 – 1.18
Form · Liga 2 this season · since 13 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 6 v 1314 v 5
The market · Persis Solo win43% · ours 70%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%50%60%70%80% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:18
Our probability · Persis Solo win The market, margin stripped

Published at 67%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Persis Solo win70%43%+27
Draw16%25%−9
RANS Nusantara win15%32%−17
Over 2.5 goals74%59%+15
Both teams to score62%62%0
Over 1.5 goals89%80%+9
Over 3.5 goals55%37%+18
Persis Solo or draw85%68%+17
Persis Solo clean sheet32%––
RANS Nusantara clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%
0123450 2.7 2.6 1 5.8 6.6 3.7 2 7.2 7.9 4.5 3 6.2 6.7 3.9 4 4.3 4.7 2.7 5 2.7 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Persis Solo down, RANS Nusantara across0–5 goals a side shown (88.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting4.50
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored5 of 6
Last meetingsPER 2–0 RAN · RAN 1–2 PER · RAN 2–3 PER · PER 6–1 RAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 13 Sept

PERSIS SOLO

LWDLDD0–2 · 7–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–3

RANS NUSANTARA

WDLWWW3–2 · 3–3 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1PSPS7+718
2Tornado Pekanbaru6+1214
3Deltras6+914
4Persela Lamongan6+913
5RANS Nusantara6+713
6Barito Putera7+613
7Persikad Depok FC7−212
8PSMS Medan6+1011
9Persipura Jayapura7+811
10Sumsel United6+310
11Semen Padang6+18
12PSIS Semarang508
13PSGC Ciamis6−47
14Persis Solo6+36
15Bekasi City6+15
16Dejan6−45
17Persiraja Banda Aceh6−24
18Persiku Kudus5−141
19Persiba Balikpapan7−140
20PSBS Biak Numfor7−360

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.