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Persiraja Banda Aceh v PSGC Ciamis

Persiraja Banda Aceh
2–1Full time
PSGC Ciamis

Liga 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Harapan Bangsa Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24
Persiraja Banda Aceh 2–1 PSGC Ciamis PERSIRAJA BANDA ACEH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Persiraja Banda Aceh win58%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.265
The market’s Brier score0.386

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Persiraja Banda Aceh win at 58%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Persiraja Banda Aceh was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–24–19
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Persiraja Banda Aceh v PSGC Ciamis
  4. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
  5. 41′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–36–18
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 PSGC Ciamis
  7. 46′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 PSGC Ciamis
  9. 47′Persiraja Banda Aceh score on 46′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  10. 47′We published Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  11. 47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Persiraja Banda Aceh 1–0 PSGC Ciamis
  12. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 83% now
  13. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: P. Husni · Off: I. Faisal
  14. 48′47′: M. Chaves on the scoresheet for Persiraja Banda Aceh, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  15. 51′Persiraja Banda Aceh find the net on 51′. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  16. 51′We published Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  17. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Persiraja Banda Aceh 2–0 PSGC Ciamis
  18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 97% now
  19. 53′Persiraja Banda Aceh ahead on 50′ through I. Armaiyn. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  20. 54′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 2–0 · 97–2–0
  21. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
  22. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 53' PSGC Ciamis · On: A. Raffa · Off: A. Zahran
  23. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 53' PSGC Ciamis · On: E. N'Douassel · Off: A. Juanda
  24. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 53' PSGC Ciamis · On: I. Fathurahman · Off: Kim Min-Hyeok
  25. 61′A goal for PSGC Ciamis on 60′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  26. 61′We published Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  27. 61′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  28. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Persiraja Banda Aceh 2–1 PSGC Ciamis
  29. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 85% now
  30. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' PSGC Ciamis
  31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: T. Kusuma · Off: I. Armaiyn
  32. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: R. Safri · Off: N. Tegar
  33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: A. Saputra · Off: W. Jati
  34. 75′We published Persiraja Banda Aceh at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' PSGC Ciamis · On: J. Bonilla · Off: A. Imron
  36. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' PSGC Ciamis · On: Ferdiansyah · Off: F. Abdul
  37. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: R. Umami · Off: A. Madilesa
  38. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' PSGC Ciamis
  39. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
  40. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Persiraja Banda Aceh
  41. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' PSGC Ciamis
  42. FTFULL TIME Persiraja Banda Aceh 2–1 PSGC Ciamis
  43. FTPersiraja Banda Aceh 2–1 PSGC Ciamis · Persiraja Banda Aceh win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persiraja Banda Aceh are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persiraja Banda Aceh 58%, draw 23%, PSGC Ciamis 18%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Persiraja Banda Aceh v PSGC CiamisBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Persiraja Banda Aceh win58%
Draw23%
PSGC Ciamis win18%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 7

VenueHarapan Bangsa Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persiraja Banda Aceh

PSGC Ciamis

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13PSGC Ciamis6−47
17Persiraja Banda Aceh6−24

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · persiraja banda aceh winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
58% The market49%
Us58%
Market49%

We make Persiraja Banda Aceh a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Persiraja Banda Aceh v PSGC Ciamis1.80 – 0.89
Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 4 v 717 v 13
The market · Persiraja Banda Aceh win49% · ours 58%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 13:33
Our probability · Persiraja Banda Aceh win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Persiraja Banda Aceh win58%49%+9
Draw23%25%−2
PSGC Ciamis win18%25%−7
Over 2.5 goals50%54%−4
Both teams to score48%56%−8
Over 1.5 goals74%76%−2
Over 3.5 goals28%33%−5
Persiraja Banda Aceh or draw82%75%+7
Persiraja Banda Aceh clean sheet42%––
PSGC Ciamis clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.2%
0123450 7.6 6.1 2.8 1 12.2 10.9 4.7 2 10.8 9.3 4.1 3 6.5 5.5 2.5 4 3.0 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Persiraja Banda Aceh down, PSGC Ciamis across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

PERSIRAJA BANDA ACEH

LLLLWD0–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 0–0

PSGC CIAMIS

LWLWLD1–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1PSPS7+718
2Tornado Pekanbaru6+1214
3Deltras6+914
4Persela Lamongan6+913
5RANS Nusantara6+713
6Barito Putera7+613
7Persikad Depok FC7−212
8PSMS Medan6+1011
9Persipura Jayapura7+811
10Sumsel United6+310
11Semen Padang6+18
12PSIS Semarang508
13PSGC Ciamis6−47
14Persis Solo6+36
15Bekasi City6+15
16Dejan6−45
17Persiraja Banda Aceh6−24
18Persiku Kudus5−141
19Persiba Balikpapan7−140
20PSBS Biak Numfor7−360

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.