Persiraja Banda Aceh v Bekasi City prediction · Liga 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 Bekasi City PERSIRAJA BANDA ACEH WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persiraja Banda Aceh win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.838

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 28 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persiraja Banda Aceh win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Persiraja Banda Aceh was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–26–28
1′KICK-OFF Persiraja Banda Aceh v Bekasi City
31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Bekasi City
33′Bekasi City score on 33′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–25–60
33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Persiraja Banda Aceh
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–1 Bekasi City
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 46% at kick-off, 15% now
33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Bekasi City win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Persiraja Banda Aceh win 15%)
34′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–25–61
34′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 15–25–61
35′34′: E. Mandosir on the scoresheet for Bekasi City, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–25–61
36′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
38′34′: E. Mandosir on the scoresheet for Bekasi City, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–25–62
38′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–62
39′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 13–25–62
41′Much as we predicted: Persiraja Banda Aceh was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–38–25
41′GOAL DISALLOWED · 33' E. Mandosir · Bekasi City
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 46% at kick-off, 37% now
45′HALF-TIME Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 Bekasi City
46′SECOND HALF Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 Bekasi City
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Bekasi City win 24%)
49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Bekasi City
50′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–23
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: R. Umami · Off: M. Adri
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: M. Chaves · Off: Mujahidin
55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 32–46–22
57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Bekasi City
60′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–20
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
66′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: Indra Arya · Off: I. Faisal
68′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–17
68′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Bekasi City · On: A. Dwi · Off: F. Al Abid
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Persiraja Banda Aceh
75′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
77′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Bekasi City · On: M. Zakaria · Off: T. Shimizu
77′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Bekasi City · On: H. Ibrahim · Off: D. Rumbino
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
84′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: D. Mardiyanto · Off: R. Safri
84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Bekasi City · On: Rudiyana · Off: R. Saputro
84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Bekasi City · On: E. Tuhuteru · Off: Z. Gholy
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Persiraja Banda Aceh win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
91′We said Persiraja Banda Aceh at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
94′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Persiraja Banda Aceh · On: T. Kusuma · Off: M. Fazri
FTFULL TIME Persiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 Bekasi City
FTPersiraja Banda Aceh 0–0 Bekasi City · Persiraja Banda Aceh win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persiraja Banda Aceh are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persiraja Banda Aceh 46%, draw 26%, Bekasi City 28%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Persiraja Banda Aceh v Bekasi CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Persiraja Banda Aceh win46%

Draw26%

Bekasi City win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueHarapan Bangsa Stadium

Line-ups

Persiraja Banda Aceh

Bekasi City

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persiraja Banda Aceh

Bekasi City

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Bekasi City	5	+1	4
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Persiraja Banda Aceh

Formation not confirmed

22 Gede Aditya

3 Daniel Alemao

4 S. Kaysa

5 M. Muharir

14 J. Hariono

15 Mujahidin

21 M. Fazri

29 I. Faisal

77 R. Safri

87 W. Jati

88 M. Adri

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Francisco

7 · Indra Arya

10 · M. Chaves

11 · P. Husni

17 · D. Mardiyanto

18 · A. Saputra

19 · R. Umami

20 · I. Armaiyn

25 · F. Madilesa

27 · Khalidin

57 · T. Islami Muhammad Narendra

70 · T. Kusuma

Bekasi City

Formation not confirmed

17 F. D. Firmansyah

3 Artur

5 R. Widiansyah

6 A. Budiyono

7 Z. Gholy

10 T. Shimizu

20 R. Saputro

28 E. Mandosir

33 F. Al Abid

64 R. Selang

99 D. Rumbino

Coach · –

Substitutes

24 · C. Zulazhar

8 · M. Zakaria

11 · E. Tuhuteru

13 · D. Wahyu

15 · A. Dwi

16 · H. Ibrahim

26 · I. Mila

29 · Rudiyana

72 · D. Tri Maulana

77 · Jackson Tiwu

Our number · persiraja banda aceh winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Persiraja Banda Aceh a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Persiraja Banda Aceh v Bekasi City~~1.50 – 1.10

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 4~~17 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persiraja Banda Aceh win	46%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Bekasi City win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Persiraja Banda Aceh or draw	72%	–	–
Persiraja Banda Aceh clean sheet	34%	–	–
Bekasi City clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 8.2 8.2 4.6 1 11.0 12.0 6.5 2.5 2 8.2 8.7 4.8 3 4.2 4.4 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persiraja Banda Aceh down, Bekasi City across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,098 Liga 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 1.60 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persiraja Banda Aceh at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bekasi City away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Persiraja Banda Aceh, 1.10 for Bekasi City. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.60

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BEK 1–0 PER · BEK 0–0 PER · PER 1–1 BEK · PER 2–1 BEK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

PERSIRAJA BANDA ACEH

LLLLW0–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–1

BEKASI CITY

DLLLW1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
2	Deltras	5	+9	13
3	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
4	RANS Nusantara	6	+7	13
5	PSPS	5	+3	12
6	Persikad Depok FC	5	0	12
7	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
8	Semen Padang	6	+1	8
9	Sumsel United	5	+2	7
10	Barito Putera	5	+1	7
11	PSIS Semarang	4	0	7
12	PSGC Ciamis	5	−4	6
13	Persis Solo	5	+3	5
14	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
15	Dejan	5	−2	5
16	Bekasi City	5	+1	4
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3
18	Persiku Kudus	4	−11	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	6	−10	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	5	−28	0