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Persipura Jayapura v RANS Nusantara

Persipura Jayapura

1–3Full time

RANS Nusantara

Liga 2 · FRI 9 OCT · Mandala Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 12:02

Persipura Jayapura 1–3 RANS Nusantara PERSIPURA JAYAPURA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persipura Jayapura win~~81%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.540

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.983

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Persipura Jayapura win81%

Draw12%

RANS Nusantara win7%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 09:30

Venue · Mandala Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Persipura Jayapura

Formation not confirmed

27 R. Oscario

24 F. Uopmabin

16 A. Dusay

2 M. Kambu

4 Ricardo Lima

44 B. Ragil

20 E. Basna

33 G. Mandowen

6 Y. Amohoso

47 G. Waicang

82 J. Sroyer

Coach · –

Substitutes

13 · I. Kabes

17 · F. Pahabol

35 · A. Wisnu

5 · S. Kansai

3 · T. Shouter

12 · R. Sunuk

7 · R. Salampessy

78 · P. Sibetai

19 · A. Nabyal

46 · Todd Ferre

21 · Y. Pae

26 · A. Rumboirusi

RANS Nusantara

Formation not confirmed

26 A. Fathir

48 A. Faris

3 B. Aji

72 B. Setiawan

22 D. Angga

12 A. Aqyuba

16 R. Nadief

31 R. Setiawan

27 D. Setiawan

9 M. Andersen

23 R. Irawan

Coach · –

Substitutes

13 · S. Akbar

87 · A. Inzaghi

11 · D. Alfrido

99 · R. Wijaya

20 · D. Cahya

77 · I. Nugraha

24 · A. Khamis

21 · D. Lukas

29 · L. Malle

89 · Lee Yu-jun

10 · M. Rafli

88 · V. Akbar

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Persipura Jayapura

Formation not confirmed

27 R. Oscario

24 F. Uopmabin

16 A. Dusay

2 M. Kambu

4 Ricardo Lima

44 B. Ragil

20 E. Basna

33 G. Mandowen

6 Y. Amohoso

47 G. Waicang

82 J. Sroyer

Coach · –

Substitutes

13 · I. Kabes

17 · F. Pahabol

35 · A. Wisnu

5 · S. Kansai

3 · T. Shouter

12 · R. Sunuk

7 · R. Salampessy

78 · P. Sibetai

19 · A. Nabyal

46 · Todd Ferre

21 · Y. Pae

26 · A. Rumboirusi

RANS Nusantara

Formation not confirmed

26 A. Fathir

48 A. Faris

3 B. Aji

72 B. Setiawan

22 D. Angga

12 A. Aqyuba

16 R. Nadief

31 R. Setiawan

27 D. Setiawan

9 M. Andersen

23 R. Irawan

Coach · –

Substitutes

13 · S. Akbar

87 · A. Inzaghi

11 · D. Alfrido

99 · R. Wijaya

20 · D. Cahya

77 · I. Nugraha

24 · A. Khamis

21 · D. Lukas

29 · L. Malle

89 · Lee Yu-jun

10 · M. Rafli

88 · V. Akbar

Our number · persipura jayapura winPublished 9 Oct 09:31

81% The market53%

Us81%

~~Market~~53%

We make Persipura Jayapura a 81% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 28 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.3–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · persipura jayapura win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 53% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persipura Jayapura win	81%	53%	+28
Draw	12%	26%	−15
RANS Nusantara win	7%	21%	−14
Over 2.5 goals	73%	50%	+24
Both teams to score	50%	51%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	89%	72%	+16
Over 3.5 goals	55%	29%	+25
Persipura Jayapura or draw	93%	79%	+14
Persipura Jayapura clean sheet	47%	–	–
RANS Nusantara clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.4%

0123450 2.6 1 6.7 5.2 2.1 2 9.4 7.1 2.8 3 9.1 6.8 2.7 4 7.2 5.2 2.0 5 4.9 3.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persipura Jayapura down, RANS Nusantara across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,087 Liga 2 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.4% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persipura Jayapura at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). RANS Nusantara away: 1.50 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.27 goals for Persipura Jayapura, 0.77 for RANS Nusantara. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PER 8–0 RAN · RAN 1–1 PER · PER 4–0 RAN · RAN 1–0 PER

Form · last six in Liga 2

PERSIPURA JAYAPURA

WLLDDW2–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–1

RANS NUSANTARA

LLWDLW0–8 · 0–5 · 3–2 · 3–3 · 1–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persela Lamongan	4	+10	12
2	Deltras	4	+9	12
3	PSMS Medan	4	+11	10
4	PSPS	4	+2	9
5	Persikad Depok FC	4	−1	9
6	Tornado Pekanbaru	4	+3	8
7	RANS Nusantara	4	+4	7
8	PSIS Semarang	3	+2	7
9	Semen Padang	4	+2	7
10	PSGC Ciamis	4	0	6
11	Persipura Jayapura	4	+1	5
12	Persis Solo	4	+3	4
13	Barito Putera	4	−1	4
14	Dejan	4	−2	4
15	Sumsel United	4	−2	4
16	Bekasi City	4	−3	1
17	Persiku Kudus	3	−7	1
18	Persiraja Banda Aceh	4	−4	0
19	Persiba Balikpapan	4	−5	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	4	−22	0