Persikad Depok FC v Semen Padang prediction · Liga 2

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Persikad Depok FC 2–1 Semen Padang PERSIKAD DEPOK FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persikad Depok FC win~~40%

~~The market said~~23%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.538

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.920

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persikad Depok FC win at 40%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Persikad Depok FC 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
3′Little has changed for our model: Persikad Depok FC 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
45′A goal for Semen Padang on 39′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Semen Padang win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Persikad Depok FC win 9%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persikad Depok FC win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Persikad Depok FC win is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Semen Padang win 31%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persikad Depok FC win: 40% at kick-off, 9% now
45′HALF-TIME Persikad Depok FC 0–1 Semen Padang
46′SECOND HALF Persikad Depok FC 0–1 Semen Padang
62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Semen Padang
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Persikad Depok FC 1–1 Semen Padang
70′⚽ GOAL · 64' Persikad Depok FC 1–1 Semen Padang · F. Ardiansyah
71′⚽ GOAL · 64' Persikad Depok FC 1–1 Semen Padang · F. Ardiansyah
74′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Semen Padang · On: Junior · Off: I. Spasojevic
75′⚽ GOAL · 64' Persikad Depok FC 1–1 Semen Padang · F. Ardiansyah
75′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Semen Padang · On: Junior · Off: I. Spasojevic
82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Persikad Depok FC · On: R. Ananda · Off: S. Tuakia
83′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Semen Padang · On: K. Botan · Off: A. Slamat
83′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Semen Padang · On: A. Maring · Off: S. Lilipaly
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Persikad Depok FC
90′⚽ GOAL · 95' Persikad Depok FC 2–1 Semen Padang
FTFULL TIME Persikad Depok FC 2–1 Semen Padang
FTPersikad Depok FC 2–1 Semen Padang · Persikad Depok FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Persikad Depok FC win40%

Draw27%

Semen Padang win33%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

VenuePakansari Stadium

Line-ups

Persikad Depok FC

Semen Padang

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Persikad Depok FC

Semen Padang

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Persikad Depok FC	4	−1	9
9	Semen Padang	4	+2	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Persikad Depok FC

Formation not confirmed

48 D. Al Gasemi

14 I. Wiranda

32 Y. Safrizal

2 H. O. Fofana

30 R. Saputra

21 N. Sitepu

95 S. Tuakia

24 G. Alviqi

53 D. Gultom

10 J. E. Mena Perez

9 Gustavo Franca

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · Y. Tawainella

33 · P. Al Mudzaki

28 · A. Syahputra

22 · H. Saputra

20 · S. Maidullah

18 · S. Dwi

17 · R. Tawainella

16 · Ibnu Yazid

15 · F. Firdaus

12 · F. Ardiansyah

5 · R. Ananda

23 · Y. Petra

Semen Padang

Formation not confirmed

12 I. Al Giffari

28 R. Hehanussa

26 I. Cukovic

27 S. Tahar

11 N. Setiawan

8 M. Hargianto

66 D. Maulana

88 A. Slamat

6 S. Lilipaly

20 M. Firjatullah

9 I. Spasojevic

Coach · Eduardo Almeida

Substitutes

1 · M. Rani

2 · B. Kaffa

5 · E. Gutawa

42 · A. Pangestu

25 · G. Zola

18 · M. Kemaluddin

98 · A. Maring

77 · K. Botan

91 · Rahmat

7 · I. Pratama

10 · I. Mofu

93 · Junior

Our number · persikad depok fc winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

40% The market23%

Us40%

~~Market~~23%

We make Persikad Depok FC a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 23%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · persikad depok fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 23% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persikad Depok FC win	40%	23%	+17
Draw	27%	25%	+1
Semen Padang win	33%	51%	−18
Over 2.5 goals	45%	53%	−8
Both teams to score	49%	55%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	70%	76%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	25%	33%	−8
Persikad Depok FC or draw	67%	49%	+18
Persikad Depok FC clean sheet	32%	–	–
Semen Padang clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 9.2 9.8 5.7 2.4 1 10.8 12.0 6.9 2.8 2 7.2 7.9 4.5 3 3.3 3.7 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persikad Depok FC down, Semen Padang across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,093 Liga 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Persikad Depok FC at home: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Semen Padang away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Persikad Depok FC, 1.18 for Semen Padang. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga 2

PERSIKAD DEPOK FC

WLWWWL3–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–4

SEMEN PADANG

LLWDWL0–3 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persela Lamongan	4	+10	12
2	Deltras	4	+9	12
3	Tornado Pekanbaru	5	+9	11
4	PSMS Medan	4	+11	10
5	RANS Nusantara	5	+6	10
6	PSPS	4	+2	9
7	Persikad Depok FC	4	−1	9
8	Sumsel United	5	+2	7
9	Semen Padang	4	+2	7
10	Barito Putera	5	+1	7
11	PSIS Semarang	4	0	7
12	PSGC Ciamis	5	−4	6
13	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
14	Persis Solo	4	+3	4
15	Bekasi City	5	+1	4
16	Dejan	4	−2	4
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3
18	Persiku Kudus	4	−11	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	5	−7	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	5	−28	0