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Persikad Depok FC v PSPS

Persikad Depok FC

2–3Full time

PSPS

Liga 2 · SAT 24 OCT · Pakansari Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Persikad Depok FC 2–3 PSPS PERSIKAD DEPOK FC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persikad Depok FC win~~41%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.623

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.658

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 35 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persikad Depok FC win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Persikad Depok FC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–22–36
1′KICK-OFF Persikad Depok FC v PSPS
4′We published Persikad Depok FC at 41%. Our model now makes it 64%. 1–0 · 64–18–19
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Persikad Depok FC 1–0 PSPS
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 64% now
5′Persikad Depok FC score on 5′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 64–18–18
7′4′: Luiz Henrique puts it into the PSPS net, and it is 1–0. 1–0 · 64–18–18
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Persikad Depok FC 1–1 PSPS
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 40% now
12′PSPS find the net on 11′. 1–1. 1–1 · 40–24–36
15′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–2 · 20–20–60
15′A goal for PSPS on 15′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 20–20–60
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Persikad Depok FC 1–2 PSPS
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 20% now
15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' PSPS win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Persikad Depok FC win 40%)
17′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–20–60
29′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Persikad Depok FC · On: F. Ardiansyah · Off: D. Gultom
39′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–22–64
45′SECOND HALF Persikad Depok FC 2–2 PSPS
46′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 35–34–31
46′Persikad Depok FC score on 45′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 35–34–31
46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Persikad Depok FC
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Persikad Depok FC 2–2 PSPS
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 35% now
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' PSPS · On: H. Deva · Off: V. Ariyanto
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persikad Depok FC · On: F. Ramadoni · Off: R. Tawainella
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was PSPS win 65%)
53′HALF-TIME Persikad Depok FC 2–2 PSPS
56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' PSPS
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
61′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–44–27
61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Persikad Depok FC
73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' PSPS · On: D. Wicaksono · Off: J. Riski
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Persikad Depok FC · On: S. Tuakia · Off: R. Saputra
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' PSPS · On: M. Revan · Off: Luiz Henrique
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' PSPS · On: A. Lubis · Off: A. Aziz
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' PSPS · On: I. Fathoni · Off: Matheus Farinha
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
85′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–82–9
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Persikad Depok FC
87′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Persikad Depok FC
92′We said Persikad Depok FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–4
96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Persikad Depok FC · On: Ibnu Yazid · Off: P. Al Mudzaki
97′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Persikad Depok FC · On: F. Firdaus · Off: S. Tuakia
99′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–2–98
99′⚽ GOAL · 90+9' Persikad Depok FC 2–3 PSPS
99′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+9' Persikad Depok FC win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
99′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+9' PSPS win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 96%)
100′PSPS find the net on 90′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–2–98
101′2–3 after extra time. Our 41% on Persikad Depok FC is graded on the score after ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Persikad Depok FC 2–3 PSPS
FTPersikad Depok FC 2–3 PSPS · Persikad Depok FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Persikad Depok FC just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Persikad Depok FC 41%, draw 22%, PSPS 37%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Persikad Depok FC v PSPSBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Persikad Depok FC win41%

Draw22%

PSPS win37%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 7

VenuePakansari Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persikad Depok FC

PSPS

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	6	+6	15
7	Persikad Depok FC	6	−1	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · persikad depok fc winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

41% The market40%

Us41%

~~Market~~40%

We make Persikad Depok FC a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Persikad Depok FC v PSPS~~1.81 – 1.70

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 11 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~7 v 1

~~The market · Persikad Depok FC win~~40% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Persikad Depok FC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persikad Depok FC win	41%	40%	+1
Draw	22%	26%	−4
PSPS win	37%	34%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	67%	54%	+13
Both teams to score	67%	58%	+9
Over 1.5 goals	86%	77%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	46%	33%	+13
Persikad Depok FC or draw	63%	66%	−3
Persikad Depok FC clean sheet	20%	–	–
PSPS clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.7 5.2 4.4 2.5 1 5.6 9.3 7.4 4.2 2 5.1 8.0 6.5 3.7 3 3.0 4.8 3.9 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persikad Depok FC down, PSPS across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,109 Liga 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.0% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persikad Depok FC at home: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). PSPS away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Persikad Depok FC, 1.70 for PSPS. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~PSP 3–1 PER · PSP 2–3 PER · PER 1–0 PSP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 11 Sept

PERSIKAD DEPOK FC

WWWLWL2–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 1–2

PSPS

LWWWWW1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	6	+6	15
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
3	Deltras	6	+9	14
4	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
5	RANS Nusantara	6	+7	13
6	Barito Putera	7	+6	13
7	Persikad Depok FC	6	−1	12
8	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
9	Persipura Jayapura	7	+8	11
10	Sumsel United	6	+3	10
11	Semen Padang	6	+1	8
12	PSIS Semarang	5	0	8
13	PSGC Ciamis	6	−4	7
14	Persis Solo	6	+3	6
15	Bekasi City	6	+1	5
16	Dejan	6	−4	5
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	6	−2	4
18	Persiku Kudus	5	−14	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	7	−14	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	7	−36	0