Dejan v Barito Putera prediction · Liga 2

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Dejan 0–2 Barito Putera BARITO PUTERA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Barito Putera win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.520

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Barito Putera win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Barito Putera was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 32–27–41
1′KICK-OFF Dejan v Barito Putera
4′🟨 YELLOW · 3' Dejan
8′Barito Putera find the net on 8′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Dejan 0–1 Barito Putera
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
9′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 12–19–69
15′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
16′A goal for Dejan on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–31–39
16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Dejan 1–1 Barito Putera
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 39% now
19′GOAL DISALLOWED · 19' Dejan
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 70% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–71
44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Barito Putera
45′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it 93%. 0–2 · 1–5–93
45′HALF-TIME Dejan 0–2 Barito Putera
46′SECOND HALF Dejan 0–2 Barito Putera
48′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
48′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Barito Putera · On: G. Edginataqi · Off: K. Howay
50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dejan · On: A. Aziz · Off: A. Maulana
51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dejan · On: M. Sadewa · Off: D. Ji
51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dejan · On: I. Bajo · Off: R. Achmad
52′🟨 YELLOW · 45+7' Barito Putera
52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barito Putera · On: Gustur CP · Off: A. Daffa
54′A goal for Barito Putera on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
54′⚽ GOAL · 45+9' Dejan 0–2 Barito Putera
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+9' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 95% now
55′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
56′Dejan score on 45′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–18–77
56′⚽ GOAL · 45+11' Dejan 1–2 Barito Putera
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+11' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 77% now
57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 4–18–77
58′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+13' Dejan
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+13' Barito Putera win: 41% at kick-off, 96% now
63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Barito Putera
65′PENALTY MISSED · 64' Dejan
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Barito Putera · On: A. Iskandar · Off: B. Kahfi
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Barito Putera · On: B. Reksa · Off: R. Nico
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Dejan
81′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dejan · On: K. Muzakkar · Off: Dimitri
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Dejan · On: G. Giofani · Off: M. Supriadi
81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Barito Putera · On: S. Rifai · Off: N. Santoso
82′We published Barito Putera at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Dejan
FTFULL TIME Dejan 0–2 Barito Putera
FTDejan 0–2 Barito Putera · Barito Putera win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Barito Putera are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dejan 32%, draw 27%, Barito Putera 41%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Dejan v Barito PuteraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dejan win32%

Draw27%

Barito Putera win41%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueStadion Kera Sakti

Line-ups

Dejan

Barito Putera

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dejan

Barito Putera

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Barito Putera	5	+1	7
16	Dejan	5	−2	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Roberto De Zerbi reveals Dejan Kulusevski injury latest in new four-man Tottenham updateEvening Standard · 18 Oct 09:55 · Dejan, Tottenham

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Dejan

Formation not confirmed

92 D. Galih

6 F. Alchoir

10 F. Veloso

14 D. Ji

18 Keven

23 W. El-Burji

26 H. Pratama

37 R. Achmad

53 Dimitri

54 M. Supriadi

97 A. Maulana

Coach · –

Substitutes

75 · P. Sambodo

2 · R. Nugraha

8 · S. Fafa

11 · G. Giofani

13 · I. Febrianto

19 · M. Sadewa

25 · K. Muzakkar

28 · B. Fatari

64 · U. Thoriq

66 · I. Bajo

79 · G. Alparedo

88 · A. Aziz

Barito Putera

Formation not confirmed

86 S. Tama

6 N. Santoso

8 K. Howay

13 B. Pradana

18 R. Nico

19 B. Kahfi

24 A. Daffa

29 I. Gwijangge

31 Murilo

36 Alves Renan

79 K. Nagashima

Coach · –

Substitutes

25 · R. Pambudi

3 · Y. Aditya

7 · Gustur CP

9 · R. Angga

17 · Ferdiansyah

26 · R. Pora

30 · G. Edginataqi

34 · A. Mahpud

55 · B. Reksa

66 · S. Rifai

71 · A. Iskandar

Our number · barito putera winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Barito Putera a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dejan v Barito Putera~~1.13 – 1.35

~~Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 7~~16 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dejan win	32%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Barito Putera win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Dejan or draw	59%	–	–
Dejan clean sheet	27%	–	–
Barito Putera clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 9.4 11.1 7.5 3.5 1 9.4 12.4 8.0 3.7 2 5.5 6.9 4.5 2.1 3 2.2 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dejan down, Barito Putera across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,103 Liga 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.4% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Dejan at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Barito Putera away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Dejan, 1.35 for Barito Putera. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 2 this season · since 12 Sept

DEJAN

LDWLD0–1 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–0

BARITO PUTERA

WLDLW3–2 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	PSPS	6	+6	15
2	Tornado Pekanbaru	6	+12	14
3	Deltras	6	+9	14
4	Persela Lamongan	6	+9	13
5	RANS Nusantara	6	+7	13
6	Persikad Depok FC	6	−1	12
7	PSMS Medan	6	+10	11
8	Sumsel United	6	+3	10
9	Persipura Jayapura	6	+4	8
10	Semen Padang	6	+1	8
11	PSIS Semarang	5	0	8
12	Barito Putera	5	+1	7
13	PSGC Ciamis	6	−4	7
14	Persis Solo	6	+3	6
15	Bekasi City	6	+1	5
16	Dejan	5	−2	5
17	Persiraja Banda Aceh	6	−2	4
18	Persiku Kudus	5	−14	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	6	−10	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	6	−33	0