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Bekasi City v PSGC Ciamis

Bekasi City

4–0Full time

PSGC Ciamis

Liga 2 · SAT 10 OCT · Purnawarman Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Bekasi City 4–0 PSGC Ciamis BEKASI CITY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bekasi City win~~53%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.339

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.520

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 33 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bekasi City win at 53%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Bekasi City 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
1′KICK-OFF Bekasi City v PSGC Ciamis
25′⚽ GOAL · 26' Bekasi City 0–0 PSGC Ciamis
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Bekasi City 1–0 PSGC Ciamis
27′🟨 YELLOW · 28' PSGC Ciamis
30′Z. Gholy scores for Bekasi City on 26′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Bekasi City win: 53% at kick-off, 79% now
35′⚽ GOAL · 36' Bekasi City 1–0 PSGC Ciamis
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Bekasi City 2–0 PSGC Ciamis · Z. Gholy
39′⚽ GOAL · 36' Bekasi City 1–0 PSGC Ciamis · Z. Gholy (assist T. Shimizu)
40′We said Bekasi City at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
41′🟨 YELLOW · 42' PSGC Ciamis
45′🟨 YELLOW · 41' F. Abdul · PSGC Ciamis
45′SECOND HALF Bekasi City 2–0 PSGC Ciamis
47′🟨 YELLOW · 48' PSGC Ciamis
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Bekasi City 1–0 PSGC Ciamis
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bekasi City · On: A. Dwi · Off: F. Azka
49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' PSGC Ciamis · On: S. Wardana · Off: K. Pasha
50′🟨 YELLOW · 51' PSGC Ciamis
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Bekasi City 2–0 PSGC Ciamis · R. Saputro
61′⚽ GOAL · 62' Bekasi City 2–0 PSGC Ciamis
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Bekasi City 3–0 PSGC Ciamis · R. Saputro
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Bekasi City 3–0 PSGC Ciamis · R. Saputro
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' PSGC Ciamis · On: Y. Munawar · Off: A. Imron
63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Bekasi City 3–0 PSGC Ciamis · R. Saputro
73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Bekasi City · On: Rudiyana · Off: R. Saputro
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Bekasi City · On: H. Ibrahim · Off: D. Rumbino
73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bekasi City · On: E. Tuhuteru · Off: Z. Gholy
74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' PSGC Ciamis · On: Ferdiansyah · Off: B. Cahaya Corrected
81′⚽ GOAL · 82' Bekasi City 3–0 PSGC Ciamis
86′🟥 RED CARD · 86' Bekasi City
86′🟥 RED CARD · 87' PSGC Ciamis
88′🟥 RED CARD · 87' F. Abdul · PSGC Ciamis
97′⚽ GOAL · 98' Bekasi City 3–0 PSGC Ciamis
98′⚽ GOAL · 98' Bekasi City 4–0 PSGC Ciamis · R. Saputro
FTFULL TIME Bekasi City 4–0 PSGC Ciamis
FTBekasi City 4–0 PSGC Ciamis · Bekasi City win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bekasi City win53%

Draw25%

PSGC Ciamis win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

Venue · Purnawarman Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Bekasi City

Formation not confirmed

17 F. D. Firmansyah

3 Artur

5 R. Widiansyah

6 A. Budiyono

7 Z. Gholy

10 T. Shimizu

14 F. Azka

20 R. Saputro

28 E. Mandosir

64 R. Selang

99 D. Rumbino

Coach · –

Substitutes

81 · R. Razzaqu

8 · M. Zakaria

11 · E. Tuhuteru

13 · D. Wahyu

15 · A. Dwi

16 · H. Ibrahim

26 · I. Mila

29 · Rudiyana

33 · F. Al Abid

68 · A. Fadzillah

72 · D. Tri Maulana

77 · Jackson Tiwu

PSGC Ciamis

Formation not confirmed

60 Y. Pranata

6 A. Baasith

10 E. N'Douassel

11 A. Imron

12 G. Fathir

21 F. Abdul

22 D. Valentino

29 K. Pasha

36 A. Zahran

77 F. Harahap

92 Kim Min-Hyeok

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · R. Aghastya

5 · I. Fathurahman

7 · Ferdiansyah

8 · D. Ang

9 · Y. Munawar

14 · G. Kurniawan

15 · Z. Ferdiansyah

24 · I. Kurniawan

30 · A. Juanda

46 · K. Depriadi

66 · S. Wardana

91 · B. Cahaya

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Bekasi City

Formation not confirmed

17 F. D. Firmansyah

3 Artur

5 R. Widiansyah

6 A. Budiyono

7 Z. Gholy

10 T. Shimizu

14 F. Azka

20 R. Saputro

28 E. Mandosir

64 R. Selang

99 D. Rumbino

Coach · –

Substitutes

81 · R. Razzaqu

8 · M. Zakaria

11 · E. Tuhuteru

13 · D. Wahyu

15 · A. Dwi

16 · H. Ibrahim

26 · I. Mila

29 · Rudiyana

33 · F. Al Abid

68 · A. Fadzillah

72 · D. Tri Maulana

77 · Jackson Tiwu

PSGC Ciamis

Formation not confirmed

60 Y. Pranata

6 A. Baasith

10 E. N'Douassel

11 A. Imron

12 G. Fathir

21 F. Abdul

22 D. Valentino

29 K. Pasha

36 A. Zahran

77 F. Harahap

92 Kim Min-Hyeok

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · R. Aghastya

5 · I. Fathurahman

7 · Ferdiansyah

8 · D. Ang

9 · Y. Munawar

14 · G. Kurniawan

15 · Z. Ferdiansyah

24 · I. Kurniawan

30 · A. Juanda

46 · K. Depriadi

66 · S. Wardana

91 · B. Cahaya

Our number · bekasi city winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

53% The market41%

Us53%

~~Market~~41%

We make Bekasi City a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · bekasi city win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bekasi City win	53%	41%	+11
Draw	25%	28%	−3
PSGC Ciamis win	22%	31%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	46%	47%	−2
Both teams to score	47%	53%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	71%	71%	0
Over 3.5 goals	25%	28%	−3
Bekasi City or draw	78%	69%	+9
Bekasi City clean sheet	40%	–	–
PSGC Ciamis clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%

0123450 8.7 7.6 3.6 1 12.8 11.6 5.3 2 10.0 9.0 4.2 3 5.4 4.8 2.2 4 2.3 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bekasi City down, PSGC Ciamis across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,089 Liga 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Bekasi City at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). PSGC Ciamis away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Bekasi City, 0.93 for PSGC Ciamis. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga 2

BEKASI CITY

LWDLLL2–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

PSGC CIAMIS

LWLW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persela Lamongan	4	+10	12
2	Deltras	4	+9	12
3	PSMS Medan	4	+11	10
4	RANS Nusantara	5	+6	10
5	PSPS	4	+2	9
6	Persikad Depok FC	4	−1	9
7	Tornado Pekanbaru	4	+3	8
8	Semen Padang	4	+2	7
9	PSIS Semarang	4	0	7
10	PSGC Ciamis	4	0	6
11	Persipura Jayapura	5	−1	5
12	Persis Solo	4	+3	4
13	Barito Putera	4	−1	4
14	Dejan	4	−2	4
15	Sumsel United	4	−2	4
16	Persiraja Banda Aceh	5	−2	3
17	Bekasi City	4	−3	1
18	Persiku Kudus	3	−7	1
19	Persiba Balikpapan	4	−5	0
20	PSBS Biak Numfor	4	−22	0