Persita v Persija

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Persija win at 48%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Persita v Persija
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Persija was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 25–27–48
4. 6′5′: Luquinhas on the scoresheet for Persita. 0–0 · 25–28–47
5. 7′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–0 · 53–24–23
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 5' Persita 1–0 Persija · Luquinhas (assist R. Rodriguez)
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Persita win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Persija win 23%)
9. 18′A goal for Persija on 18′. 1–0 · 55–25–20
10. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Persita 1–1 Persija · Fabio Silva
11. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 45% now
12. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Persija win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Persita win 24%)
13. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Persita · On: H. Caraka · Off: Tyronne
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
15. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Persija
16. 45′HALF-TIME Persita 1–1 Persija
17. 46′Persija level it on 18′ through Fabio Silva. 1–1. 1–1 · 22–42–37
18. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Persija win 37%)
19. 47′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 22–42–36
20. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persija · On: Witan · Off: A. Abdulmanan
21. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Persita
22. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persija · On: K. Memija · Off: K. Yoshino
23. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persija · On: R. Hannan · Off: R. Ridho
24. 50′SECOND HALF Persita 1–1 Persija
25. 52′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 21–45–34
26. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Persita
27. 59′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 19–51–31
28. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Persija · On: I. Mamut · Off: Kwon Chang-Hoon
29. 61′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 18–52–29
30. 61′Persita find the net on 61′. 1–1 · 18–52–29
31. 61′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–1 · 71–23–6
32. 61′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 71–23–6
33. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Persita 2–1 Persija
34. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Persita win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 23%)
36. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Persita · On: R. Utomo · Off: A. Nursofyan
37. 68′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
38. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Persita
39. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Persita
40. 74′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 2–2 · 13–68–20
41. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Persita 2–2 Persija
42. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 20% now
43. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Persita win 13%)
44. 75′74′: A. Jeremejeff on the scoresheet for Persija, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 12–69–19
45. 75′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 12–69–19
46. 76′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 12–71–18
47. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Persija
48. 80′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 9–77–14
49. 81′74′: A. Jeremejeff on the scoresheet for Persija, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 8–79–13
50. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Persija · On: P. Arhan · Off: D. Pamungkas
51. 82′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 2–2 · 7–81–11
52. 82′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 7–81–11
53. 84′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 6–85–9
54. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Persita · On: A. Andrejic · Off: A. Ramalingom
55. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Persita · On: E. Sahrul · Off: M. Jardel
56. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Persita · On: Z. Djiaulhaq · Off: W. Hamisi
57. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Persija win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
58. 90′Full time, 3–2. We called Persija at 48% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–2 · 100–0–0
59. 91′We said Persija at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
60. 95′Persita find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 98–2–0
61. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Persita 3–2 Persija
62. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Persita win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
63. 96′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 98–2–0
64. 98′🟨 YELLOW · 90+8' Persija
65. FTFULL TIME Persita 3–2 Persija
66. FTPersita 3–2 Persija · Persija win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.