Home › Football › Liga 1 › Persita v Garudayaksa

Persita v Garudayaksa

Persita

2–1Full time

Garudayaksa

Liga 1 · SAT 10 OCT · Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 12:18

Persita 2–1 Garudayaksa PERSITA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persita win~~43%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.480

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.501

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 28 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persita win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: Persita was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
1′KICK-OFF Persita v Garudayaksa
15′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Garudayaksa
26′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Persita
32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Garudayaksa
45′SECOND HALF Persita 0–0 Garudayaksa
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Persita 1–0 Garudayaksa
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Persita 1–0 Garudayaksa
60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Garudayaksa · On: B. Rubio · Off: S. Bagaskara
60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Garudayaksa · On: M. Sihran · Off: C. Frydek
66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Garudayaksa
68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Persita · On: H. Caraka · Off: Luquinhas
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Persita 1–1 Garudayaksa · A. Ramalingom
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Garudayaksa · On: A. Nico · Off: A. Kelilauw
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Garudayaksa · On: R. Matsumura · Off: C. Iury
74′⚽ GOAL · 75' Persita 1–1 Garudayaksa
75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Garudayaksa
79′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Garudayaksa
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Persita · On: A. Andrejic · Off: W. Hamisi
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Persita · On: Z. Djiaulhaq · Off: Tyronne
82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Persita · On: A. Andrejic · Off: W. Hamisi
82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Persita · On: Z. Djiaulhaq · Off: Tyronne
82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Persita · On: E. Sahrul · Off: A. Nursofyan
82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Garudayaksa · On: A. Gigis · Off: F. Stamenkovic
83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Persita
91′⚽ GOAL · 91' Persita 2–1 Garudayaksa · B. Rubio
91′⚽ GOAL · 92' Persita 2–1 Garudayaksa
95′SUBSTITUTION · 94' Persita · On: R. Utomo · Off: M. Jardel
FTFULL TIME Persita 2–1 Garudayaksa
FTPersita 2–1 Garudayaksa · Persita win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Persita win43%

Draw28%

Garudayaksa win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:30

Venue · Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Persita

Formation not confirmed

29 I. Rodrigues

73 A. Nursofyan

19 J. Guseynov

44 D. Markx

66 M. Jardel

8 P. Ganet

33 W. Hamisi

97 Luquinhas

77 Tyronne

90 A. Ramalingom

7 R. Rodriguez

Coach · Carlos Pena

Substitutes

96 · A. Kartika

15 · C. Fathoni

27 · Zalnando

18 · T. Sutanto

36 · Z. Djiaulhaq

10 · E. Bessa

99 · E. Sahrul

46 · Y. Yafi

11 · H. Caraka

93 · A. Andrejic

30 · A. Saputra

4 · R. Utomo

Garudayaksa

Formation not confirmed

30 D. Holec

16 H. Hehanusa

4 P. Ricardo

28 F. Stamenkovic

24 A. Kelilauw

6 T. Numberi

22 A. Busnic

70 C. Iury

11 C. Frydek

81 J. Jean

20 S. Bagaskara

Coach · –

Substitutes

23 · Y. Beny

14 · D. Fasya

27 · A. Claudio

56 · A. Nico

31 · A. Setiawan

21 · A. Gigis

77 · S. Saimima

18 · A. Poerba

99 · M. Sihran

8 · A. Kaka

10 · R. Matsumura

9 · B. Rubio

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Persita

Formation not confirmed

29 I. Rodrigues

73 A. Nursofyan

19 J. Guseynov

44 D. Markx

66 M. Jardel

8 P. Ganet

33 W. Hamisi

97 Luquinhas

77 Tyronne

90 A. Ramalingom

7 R. Rodriguez

Coach · Carlos Pena

Substitutes

96 · A. Kartika

15 · C. Fathoni

27 · Zalnando

18 · T. Sutanto

36 · Z. Djiaulhaq

10 · E. Bessa

99 · E. Sahrul

46 · Y. Yafi

11 · H. Caraka

93 · A. Andrejic

30 · A. Saputra

4 · R. Utomo

Garudayaksa

Formation not confirmed

30 D. Holec

16 H. Hehanusa

4 P. Ricardo

28 F. Stamenkovic

24 A. Kelilauw

6 T. Numberi

22 A. Busnic

70 C. Iury

11 C. Frydek

81 J. Jean

20 S. Bagaskara

Coach · –

Substitutes

23 · Y. Beny

14 · D. Fasya

27 · A. Claudio

56 · A. Nico

31 · A. Setiawan

21 · A. Gigis

77 · S. Saimima

18 · A. Poerba

99 · M. Sihran

8 · A. Kaka

10 · R. Matsumura

9 · B. Rubio

Our number · persita winPublished 10 Oct 09:34

43% The market42%

Us43%

~~Market~~42%

We make Persita a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persita win	43%	42%	+1
Draw	28%	28%	0
Garudayaksa win	28%	29%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	43%	47%	−4
Both teams to score	48%	53%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	69%	71%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	22%	28%	−5
Persita or draw	72%	71%	+1
Persita clean sheet	36%	–	–
Garudayaksa clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.9 9.0 5.0 1 11.8 13.1 6.5 2.3 2 8.3 8.5 4.4 3 3.8 3.9 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persita down, Garudayaksa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,568 Liga 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.7% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Persita at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Garudayaksa away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Persita, 1.04 for Garudayaksa. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga 1

PERSITA

LDLDWD0–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 2–2

GARUDAYAKSA

DLD1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dewa United	4	+4	10
2	Persepam Madura Utd	4	+3	9
3	Persija	3	+3	9
4	Persebaya Surabaya	4	+2	8
5	Persik Kediri	4	+3	7
6	Bali United	3	+3	6
7	Persib Bandung	3	+2	6
8	Pusamania Borneo	4	−1	6
9	Arema FC	3	+4	5
10	Bhayangkara FC	3	+2	5
11	Persita	3	+1	5
12	PSM Makassar	3	−2	2
13	Garudayaksa	3	−2	2
14	Java United	3	−2	1
15	PSIM Yogyakarta	3	−2	1
16	PSS Sleman	3	−4	0
17	Persijap	3	−4	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	−10	0