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Persijap v Java United

Persijap

1–1Full time

Java United

Liga 1 · SAT 24 OCT · Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Persijap 1–1 Java United JAVA UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Java United win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.852

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Java United win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Java United 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 28–25–46
1′KICK-OFF Persijap v Java United
28′Java United find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–18–73
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Persijap 0–1 Java United
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 73% now
29′We said Java United at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 0–1 · 9–18–73
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 9–18–73
32′Java United ahead on 30′ through Ciro. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–18–73
32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Persijap
35′A goal for Java United on 35′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–6–92
35′We said Java United at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–2 · 2–6–92
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Persijap 0–2 Java United
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 92% now
37′GOAL DISALLOWED · 37' Java United
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 74% now
40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Persijap
41′We said Java United at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 7–18–75
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Persijap 0–2 Java United
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 93% now
43′GOAL DISALLOWED · 43' Java United
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 75% now
45′HALF-TIME Persijap 0–1 Java United
46′SECOND HALF Persijap 0–1 Java United
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persijap · On: V. Kalezic · Off: China
61′A goal for Persijap on 60′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 21–50–30
61′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 21–50–30
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Persijap 1–1 Java United
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 30% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Java United win 79%)
62′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 20–50–29
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Persijap · On: B. Ismu · Off: A. Umanailo
70′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 17–59–24
70′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Java United · On: Kaio Nunes · Off: K. Hirose
75′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 14–66–19
75′Java United score on 75′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 1–13–86
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Persijap · On: Z. Afandi · Off: R. Hidayat Corrected
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Persijap 1–2 Java United
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Java United win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 66%)
76′We said Java United at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–2 · 1–12–87
77′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–12–87
79′GOAL DISALLOWED · 75' Gustavo · Java United
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 15% now
79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Java United win 89%)
80′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 10–75–14
81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Java United · On: R. Syuhada · Off: Y. Sayuri
84′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Persijap · On: R. Saepul · Off: Juan Douglas
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
91′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
99′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' Java United · On: Y. Roni · Off: Y. Sayuri
FTFULL TIME Persijap 1–1 Java United
FTPersijap 1–1 Java United · Java United win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Java United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persijap 28%, draw 25%, Java United 46%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Persijap v Java UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Persijap win28%

Draw25%

Java United win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueGelora Bumi Kartini Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persijap

Java United

4Days since last match4

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Java United	6	0	6
18	Persijap	6	−12	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · java united winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Java United a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Persijap v Java United~~1.18 – 1.58

~~Form · Liga 1 this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 6~~18 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persijap win	28%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Java United win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Persijap or draw	54%	–	–
Persijap clean sheet	21%	–	–
Java United clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.9 9.7 7.8 4.2 1 7.3 11.9 9.0 4.8 2 4.5 6.8 5.3 2.8 3 2.7 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persijap down, Java United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,591 Liga 1 matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.6% of games this season, across 53 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persijap at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Java United away: 1.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Persijap, 1.58 for Java United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~JAV 4–0 PER · PER 1–2 JAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 1 this season · since 6 Sept

PERSIJAP

LLLLLL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–6 · 0–1 · 0–2

JAVA UNITED

DLLWWD1–1 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	6	+10	15
2	Dewa United	6	+6	14
3	Persepam Madura Utd	6	+4	13
4	Bali United	6	+12	12
5	Persita	5	+3	11
6	Bhayangkara FC	6	+3	10
7	Persik Kediri	6	+3	10
8	Persib Bandung	6	+2	10
9	Persebaya Surabaya	6	+1	9
10	PSM Makassar	6	−3	8
11	Java United	6	0	6
12	Arema FC	6	−2	6
13	Pusamania Borneo	5	−2	6
14	Garudayaksa	6	−6	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	−2	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	6	−9	2
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	6	−8	1
18	Persijap	6	−12	0