Persijap v Isenmulang Kalteng prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 15:31

Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng PERSIJAP WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persijap win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.778

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persijap win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Persijap was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
1′KICK-OFF Persijap v Isenmulang Kalteng
22′Isenmulang Kalteng find the net on 21′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–24–59
22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Persijap win: 44% at kick-off, 16% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Isenmulang Kalteng win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Persijap win 16%)
23′We said Persijap at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–24–60
23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Persijap
29′We said Persijap at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Persijap win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
31′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 14–25–61
45′HALF-TIME Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng
46′SECOND HALF Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng
48′We said Persijap at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persijap · On: P. Santamaria · Off: R. Rakhmatzoda
59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Persijap · On: B. Hi Tenang · Off: A. Umanailo
60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Persijap · On: Y. Sogodogo · Off: Juan Douglas
65′We said Persijap at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Persijap win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: M. Konate · Off: K. Nishioka
77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: R. Ariyanto · Off: S. Abdillah
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Persijap · On: D. Galeh · Off: A. Fadlillah
85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: I. Feri · Off: A. Ramdani
85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: G. Al Maruf · Off: Douglas Cruz
86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Persijap
88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Persijap · On: B. Ismu · Off: N. Yakubu
91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Isenmulang Kalteng
FTFULL TIME Persijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng
FTPersijap 0–1 Isenmulang Kalteng · Persijap win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persijap are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persijap 44%, draw 28%, Isenmulang Kalteng 29%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Persijap v Isenmulang KaltengBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Persijap win44%

Draw28%

Isenmulang Kalteng win29%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueGelora Bumi Kartini Stadium

Line-ups

Persijap

Isenmulang Kalteng

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persijap

Isenmulang Kalteng

6Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Persijap	4	−9	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	−10	-2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Persijap

Formation not confirmed

20 S. Johansah

55 N. Yakubu

44 S. Chica

15 S. Ofori

14 R. Hidayat

96 A. Umanailo

10 Pirulo

71 A. Fadlillah

9 Juan Douglas

70 V. Kalezic

3 R. Rakhmatzoda

Coach · Mario Lemos

Substitutes

26 · R. Handika

45 · D. Galeh

97 · A. Wadil

12 · Z. Afandi

22 · B. Ismu

8 · P. Santamaria

27 · Reycredo Beremanda

18 · F. Marcelino

21 · R. Saepul

17 · Y. Sogodogo

32 · C. Olivera

11 · B. Hi Tenang

Isenmulang Kalteng

Formation not confirmed

1 Lucas Frigeri

33 Rafael Ribeiro

74 Douglas Cruz

4 L. S. Lelis

8 S. Abdillah

30 B. Pondaag

12 M. Manneh

37 F. Ramadhan

97 Vinicius Baiano

14 K. Nishioka

18 A. Ramdani

Coach · –

Substitutes

89 · A. Arido

85 · J. Wibowo

13 · M. Fayrushi

31 · I. Feri

66 · G. Al Maruf

10 · M. Konate

34 · Galuh Nata

67 · R. Ariyanto

19 · Satrio Mega

90 · R. Ramadhan

99 · Sergio Mendonca

Our number · persijap winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Persijap a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Persijap v Isenmulang Kalteng~~1.39 – 1.07

~~Form · Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W0 D0 L4 · W0 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 0 v -2~~17 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Persijap win

Published at 45%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persijap win	44%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Isenmulang Kalteng win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Persijap or draw	71%	–	–
Persijap clean sheet	35%	–	–
Isenmulang Kalteng clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.3 8.7 4.9 1 11.4 12.9 6.6 2.4 2 8.2 8.6 4.6 3 3.9 4.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persijap down, Isenmulang Kalteng across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Liga 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 37 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 0.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persijap at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Isenmulang Kalteng away: 0.33 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Persijap, 1.07 for Isenmulang Kalteng. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~0.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~PER 0–0 ISE · ISE 0–1 PER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept

PERSIJAP

LLLL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–6

ISENMULANG KALTENG

LLLL0–4 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	4	+7	12
2	Dewa United	5	+4	11
3	Bali United	4	+8	9
4	Persepam Madura Utd	4	+3	9
5	Persita	4	+2	8
6	Persebaya Surabaya	4	+2	8
7	Persik Kediri	4	+3	7
8	Persib Bandung	4	+2	7
9	Arema FC	4	+4	6
10	Bhayangkara FC	4	+2	6
11	Pusamania Borneo	5	−2	6
12	PSS Sleman	4	−1	3
13	Java United	4	−1	2
14	Garudayaksa	4	−3	2
15	PSM Makassar	4	−5	2
16	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	−6	1
17	Persijap	4	−9	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	−10	-2