Persib Bandung v Dewa United prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Persib Bandung 2–2 Dewa United PERSIB BANDUNG WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Persib Bandung win~~52%

~~The market said~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.864

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.934

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 35 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Persib Bandung win at 52%.
2′Much as we predicted: Persib Bandung was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
23′Dewa United find the net on 23′. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–26–53
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Dewa United win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Persib Bandung win 21%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 52% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Persib Bandung win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Dewa United win 23%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 52% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Persib Bandung win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Dewa United win 23%)
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Dewa United win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Persib Bandung win 21%)
25′Dewa United ahead on 23′ through E. Vikri. 0–1. 0–1 · 20–27–53
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 52% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Persib Bandung win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Dewa United win 23%)
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Dewa United win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Persib Bandung win 21%)
45′A goal for Dewa United on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Persib Bandung 0–2 Dewa United · E. Vikri
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Persib Bandung 0–2 Dewa United
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 3% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Dewa United win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Persib Bandung win 3%)
45′SECOND HALF Persib Bandung 0–2 Dewa United
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persib Bandung · On: Berguinho · Off: A. Alis
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persib Bandung · On: M. Klok · Off: D. Kusnandar
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 3% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
48′N. Sadaoui scores for Dewa United on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 3–10–87
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Persib Bandung win: 52% at kick-off, 3% now
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Persib Bandung 1–2 Dewa United · N. Sadaoui
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Persib Bandung 1–2 Dewa United
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Persib Bandung 2–2 Dewa United · B. Sekulic
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Persib Bandung 2–2 Dewa United
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Dewa United · On: A. Messidoro · Off: N. Sadaoui
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Dewa United · On: R. Struick · Off: E. Vikri
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Dewa United · On: A. Setiawan · Off: A. Buffon
72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Persib Bandung · On: L. Menalo · Off: B. Sekulic
80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Persib Bandung · On: I. Tanamal · Off: P. Matricardi
87′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Dewa United
95′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Dewa United · On: B. Fatari · Off: A. Ballah
FTFULL TIME Persib Bandung 2–2 Dewa United
FTPersib Bandung 2–2 Dewa United · Persib Bandung win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Persib Bandung win52%

Draw26%

Dewa United win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

VenueGelora Bandung Lautan Api Stadium

Line-ups

Persib Bandung

Dewa United

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Persib Bandung

Dewa United

21Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dewa United	4	+4	10
10	Persib Bandung	3	+2	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Persib Bandung

Formation not confirmed

14 T. Paku Alam

5 K. Rudianto

48 P. Matricardi

3 G. Mutombo

2 E. Reijnders

33 T. Haye

11 D. Kusnandar

94 Uilliam

18 A. Alis

10 M. Peralta

99 B. Sekulic

Coach · Igor Tolic

Substitutes

60 · R. Syafaka

81 · F. Maulana

6 · S. Walsh

8 · L. Guaycochea

9 · L. Menalo

19 · N. Alfaro

23 · M. Klok

30 · R. Rasyiq

40 · I. Tanamal

97 · Berguinho

4 · Julio Cesar

Dewa United

Formation not confirmed

92 S. Stevens

25 A. Buffon

2 N. Kuipers

22 Ko Myeong-Seok

37 A. Ballah

6 I. Jenner

5 Jean Mangabeira

77 N. Sadaoui

10 E. Vikri

7 Deni Junior

11 T. Marukawa

Coach · Osmar Loss

Substitutes

1 · M. Riyandi

23 · A. Setiawan

27 · R. Struick

9 · Pedro

99 · S. Sanggasi

14 · B. Fatari

97 · E. Febriansyah

63 · R. Wahyudi

26 · F. Saviola

88 · L. Widiyanto

28 · A. Messidoro

Our number · persib bandung winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

52% The market56%

Us52%

~~Market~~56%

We make Persib Bandung a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persib Bandung win	52%	56%	−4
Draw	26%	24%	+2
Dewa United win	22%	20%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	47%	56%	−10
Both teams to score	49%	56%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	72%	78%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	25%	36%	−10
Persib Bandung or draw	78%	80%	−2
Persib Bandung clean sheet	39%	–	–
Dewa United clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 8.6 7.1 3.6 1 12.0 12.2 5.6 2 9.8 9.2 4.4 3 5.3 4.9 2.4 4 2.2 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persib Bandung down, Dewa United across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,572 Liga 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 34 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.25 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Persib Bandung at home: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dewa United away: 2.17 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Persib Bandung, 0.95 for Dewa United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DEW 2–2 PER · PER 1–0 DEW · PER 0–2 DEW · DEW 2–2 PER

Form · last six in Liga 1

PERSIB BANDUNG

WWDWLW2–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

DEWA UNITED

LLWDWW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	4	+7	12
2	Dewa United	4	+4	10
3	Bali United	4	+8	9
4	Persepam Madura Utd	4	+3	9
5	Persita	4	+2	8
6	Persebaya Surabaya	4	+2	8
7	Persik Kediri	4	+3	7
8	Arema FC	4	+4	6
9	Bhayangkara FC	4	+2	6
10	Persib Bandung	3	+2	6
11	Pusamania Borneo	4	−1	6
12	PSM Makassar	3	−2	2
13	Garudayaksa	4	−3	2
14	Java United	3	−2	1
15	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	−6	1
16	PSS Sleman	3	−4	0
17	Persijap	4	−9	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	−10	0