

Persepam Madura Utd v Persib Bandung
Persepam Madura Utd
Persib BandungLiga 1 · THU 22 OCT · Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Persib Bandung win at 53%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Persepam Madura Utd v Persib Bandung
- 2′Much as we predicted: Persib Bandung was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 23–25–52
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
- 45′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 21–38–41
- 45′SECOND HALF Persepam Madura Utd 0–0 Persib Bandung
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persib Bandung · On: M. Peralta · Off: L. Menalo
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persib Bandung · On: S. Walsh · Off: K. Rudianto
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Persib Bandung · On: L. Guaycochea · Off: A. Alis
- 48′HALF-TIME Persepam Madura Utd 0–0 Persib Bandung
- 49′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 20–41–39
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Persib Bandung win 40%)
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 19–45–36
- 59′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 18–48–34
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 66′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 16–55–29
- 72′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–62–24
- 72′We published Persib Bandung at 53%. Our model now makes it 86%. 0–1 · 1–12–86
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Persepam Madura Utd 0–1 Persib Bandung
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, 86% now
- 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Persib Bandung win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 62%)
- 73′Persib Bandung find the net on 73′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–12–87
- 73′GOAL DISALLOWED · 73' Persib Bandung
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Persib Bandung win 87%)
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Persepam Madura Utd · On: Iran Junior · Off: Lulinha
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Persib Bandung
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Persib Bandung · On: Uilliam · Off: T. Haye
- 85′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 5–85–9
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Persepam Madura Utd · On: A. Kusuma · Off: Freitas Gali
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Persepam Madura Utd · On: Balotelli · Off: J. Santacruz
- 88′We said Persib Bandung at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Persepam Madura Utd 1–0 Persib Bandung
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Persib Bandung win: 53% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Persepam Madura Utd win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 89%)
- 89′Persepam Madura Utd find the net on 89′. 1–0. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Persib Bandung · On: B. Putra · Off: M. Klok
- 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Persepam Madura Utd · On: A. Rusadi · Off: D. Mitkov
- 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Persib Bandung
- FTFULL TIME Persepam Madura Utd 1–0 Persib Bandung
- FTPersepam Madura Utd 1–0 Persib Bandung · Persib Bandung win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Persib Bandung are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Persepam Madura Utd 23%, draw 25%, Persib Bandung 53%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Persepam Madura Utd win23%
Persib Bandung win53%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 6
VenueGelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Persepam Madura UtdMIN
Persib BandungEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Persepam Madura Utd
Persib Bandung
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)
Last match: 18 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Persib Bandung a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd win | 23% | 20% | +3 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Persib Bandung win | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 53% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| Persepam Madura Utd or draw | 47% | 46% | +1 |
| Persepam Madura Utd clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Persib Bandung clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Liga 1 this season · since 6 Sept
PERSEPAM MADURA UTD
PERSIB BANDUNG
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 6 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Bali United | 6 | +12 | 12 |
| 4 | Persita | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Persepam Madura Utd | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Persib Bandung | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Persebaya Surabaya | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Java United | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Arema FC | 6 | −2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pusamania Borneo | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 5 | −4 | 5 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 5 | −1 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 6 | −9 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | −8 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap | 6 | −12 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Persija
Dewa United
Bali United
Persita
Bhayangkara FC
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
Java United
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
PSM Makassar
Garudayaksa
PSS Sleman
Isenmulang Kalteng
PSIM Yogyakarta
Persijap