Persepam Madura Utd v Bhayangkara FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bhayangkara FC win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bhayangkara FC 40% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 35–25–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Persepam Madura Utd v Bhayangkara FC
4. 25′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 12–20–67
5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Persepam Madura Utd 0–1 Bhayangkara FC
6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 67% now
7. 26′Bhayangkara FC score on 26′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–67
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–68
9. 38′25′: J. Brenes on the scoresheet for Bhayangkara FC, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–21–69
10. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Bhayangkara FC
11. 41′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
13. 45′SECOND HALF Persepam Madura Utd 0–1 Bhayangkara FC
14. 49′HALF-TIME Persepam Madura Utd 0–1 Bhayangkara FC
15. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Bhayangkara FC
16. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 32% now
17. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Bhayangkara FC win 32%)
18. 52′Persepam Madura Utd find the net on 52′. 1–1. 1–1 · 28–41–31
19. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Persepam Madura Utd
20. 54′Persepam Madura Utd level it on 51′ through J. Santacruz. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–42–31
21. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
22. 59′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 25–46–28
23. 60′🟥 RED CARD · 60' Bhayangkara FC
24. 62′Bhayangkara FC are down to ten from 60′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 24–49–27
25. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Persepam Madura Utd
26. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Jaja · Persepam Madura Utd
27. 67′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–54–24
28. 70′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
29. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Persepam Madura Utd 1–2 Bhayangkara FC
30. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
31. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Bhayangkara FC win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
32. 71′A goal for Bhayangkara FC on 71′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 3–17–81
33. 71′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–17–81
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Persepam Madura Utd · On: Balotelli · Off: A. Kusuma
35. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Bhayangkara FC · On: S. Rizki · Off: M. Sidibe
36. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Bhayangkara FC · On: F. Murari · Off: P. Gede
37. 77′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 1–14–85
38. 77′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 2–2 · 15–68–17
39. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–68–17
40. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Bhayangkara FC · On: Moises Gaucho · Off: T. Ichsan
41. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Bhayangkara FC · On: M. Ristovski · Off: Allano
42. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Persepam Madura Utd 2–2 Bhayangkara FC
43. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 17% now
44. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Bhayangkara FC win 17%)
45. 78′Persepam Madura Utd score on 78′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 14–70–16
46. 80′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 12–74–14
47. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
48. 84′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
49. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Persepam Madura Utd · On: R. Ray · Off: Ilhamsyah
50. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Persepam Madura Utd · On: T. Muslihuddin · Off: G. Numberi
51. 89′We said Bhayangkara FC at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 3–2 · 94–5–0
52. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Persepam Madura Utd 3–2 Bhayangkara FC
53. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Bhayangkara FC win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
54. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Persepam Madura Utd win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 5%)
55. 90′Persepam Madura Utd find the net on 90′. 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
56. 91′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 96–4–0
57. 92′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 3–94–3
58. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Persepam Madura Utd 3–3 Bhayangkara FC
59. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Persepam Madura Utd win 3%)
60. 93′A goal for Bhayangkara FC on 90′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 2–95–2
61. 100′SUBSTITUTION · 90+7' Bhayangkara FC · On: F. Missa · Off: F. Andika
62. FTFULL TIME Persepam Madura Utd 3–3 Bhayangkara FC
63. FTPersepam Madura Utd 3–3 Bhayangkara FC · Bhayangkara FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.