Java United v Pusamania Borneo prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:11

Java United 2–1 Pusamania Borneo PUSAMANIA BORNEO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pusamania Borneo win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.671

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Pusamania Borneo win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Pusamania Borneo 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 34–24–42
1′KICK-OFF Java United v Pusamania Borneo
26′Little has changed for our model: Pusamania Borneo 42% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 32–29–39
45′HALF-TIME Java United 0–0 Pusamania Borneo
46′SECOND HALF Java United 0–0 Pusamania Borneo
47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Java United
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Java United 1–0 Pusamania Borneo
55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Pusamania Borneo · On: A. Warman · Off: H. Samir
56′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Pusamania Borneo · On: Arthur · Off: Sousa
64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Java United · On: L. Brambilla · Off: Kaio Nunes
64′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Pusamania Borneo · On: D. Kuswardani · Off: K. Teguh
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Java United 1–1 Pusamania Borneo
77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Java United · On: R. Syuhada · Off: F. Butuan
77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Java United · On: T. Rustam · Off: F. Sudin
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Pusamania Borneo · On: A. Habib · Off: I. Zikrak
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Pusamania Borneo · On: Rubio · Off: M. Diarra
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Java United 2–1 Pusamania Borneo
FTFULL TIME Java United 2–1 Pusamania Borneo
FTJava United 2–1 Pusamania Borneo · Pusamania Borneo win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Java United win34%

Draw24%

Pusamania Borneo win42%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:30

VenueGelora Kie Raha Stadium

Line-ups

Java United

Pusamania Borneo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Java United

Pusamania Borneo

22Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Pusamania Borneo	4	−1	6
14	Java United	3	−2	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Java United

Formation not confirmed

1 Jorge

14 R. Ardiansyah

4 Gustavo

6 C. Gomis

21 F. Butuan

28 Vander

8 K. Hirose

88 F. Sudin

9 Kaio Nunes

70 Gustavo

11 Y. Roni

Coach · Fabio Lefundes

Substitutes

56 · R. Syuhada

77 · A. Oropa

68 · T. Setiawan

19 · T. Rustam

99 · R. Salmon

35 · A. Kurung

3 · Cleylton

93 · C. Margono

10 · L. Brambilla

33 · M. Saputra

85 · M. Firly

Pusamania Borneo

Formation not confirmed

41 Kadu

35 I. Mendonca

77 Christian

16 K. Teguh

33 R. Adi

6 I. Zikrak

10 J. Villa

15 Sousa

18 H. Samir

8 M. Astina

19 M. Diarra

Coach · Mauro Jeronimo

Substitutes

24 · D. Michiels

17 · R. Fachgi

66 · D. Hardiansyah

36 · A. Warman

95 · I. Ohorella

27 · A. Setiawan

26 · A. Habib

94 · D. Nurdiansyah

9 · Rubio

70 · Arthur

78 · M. Darmawan

88 · D. Kuswardani

Our number · pusamania borneo winPublished 11 Oct 09:34

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Pusamania Borneo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Java United win	34%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Pusamania Borneo win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Java United or draw	58%	–	–
Java United clean sheet	19%	–	–
Pusamania Borneo clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.9 6.8 5.9 3.3 1 6.0 10.8 8.6 4.8 2.1 2 4.8 7.7 6.3 3.5 3 2.4 3.8 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Java United down, Pusamania Borneo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,572 Liga 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 34 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Java United at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Pusamania Borneo away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Java United, 1.68 for Pusamania Borneo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~PUS 7–1 JAV · JAV 3–2 PUS · JAV 3–0 PUS · PUS 1–0 JAV

Form · last six in Liga 1

JAVA UNITED

LDLDLL0–2 · 1–1 · 1–7 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 0–1

PUSAMANIA BORNEO

DWLWLW0–0 · 7–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	4	+7	12
2	Dewa United	4	+4	10
3	Bali United	4	+8	9
4	Persepam Madura Utd	4	+3	9
5	Persita	4	+2	8
6	Persebaya Surabaya	4	+2	8
7	Persik Kediri	4	+3	7
8	Arema FC	4	+4	6
9	Bhayangkara FC	4	+2	6
10	Persib Bandung	3	+2	6
11	Pusamania Borneo	4	−1	6
12	PSM Makassar	3	−2	2
13	Garudayaksa	4	−3	2
14	Java United	3	−2	1
15	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	−6	1
16	PSS Sleman	3	−4	0
17	Persijap	4	−9	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	−10	0