Java United v Bhayangkara FC prediction · Liga 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Java UnitedDrawBhayangkara FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Java United 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Java United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Java United 48%, draw 22%, Bhayangkara FC 29%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Java United v Bhayangkara FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Java United win48%

Draw22%

Bhayangkara FC win29%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 8

VenueGelora Kie Raha Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Java United

Bhayangkara FC

6Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Bhayangkara FC	6	+3	10
11	Java United	7	0	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · java united winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Java United a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Java United v Bhayangkara FC~~1.94 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D4 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 10~~11 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Java United win	48%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Bhayangkara FC win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Java United or draw	71%	–	–
Java United clean sheet	23%	–	–
Bhayangkara FC clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.8 4.7 3.6 1 6.3 9.6 6.8 3.4 2 6.2 8.9 6.5 3.2 3 4.0 5.7 4.2 2.1 4 2.8 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Java United down, Bhayangkara FC across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,593 Liga 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Java United at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bhayangkara FC away: 1.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Java United, 1.48 for Bhayangkara FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~JAV 1–2 BHA · BHA 0–1 JAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 1 this season · since 5 Sept

JAVA UNITED

LLWWDD2–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

BHAYANGKARA FC

DDWDDW1–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	6	+10	15
2	Dewa United	6	+6	14
3	Persepam Madura Utd	6	+4	13
4	Bali United	6	+12	12
5	Persita	5	+3	11
6	Bhayangkara FC	6	+3	10
7	Persik Kediri	6	+3	10
8	Persib Bandung	6	+2	10
9	Persebaya Surabaya	6	+1	9
10	PSM Makassar	6	−3	8
11	Java United	7	0	7
12	Arema FC	6	−2	6
13	Pusamania Borneo	5	−2	6
14	Garudayaksa	6	−6	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	−2	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	7	−9	3
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	7	−8	2
18	Persijap	7	−12	1