Isenmulang Kalteng v Java United prediction · Liga 1

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 12:00

Isenmulang Kalteng 1–1 Java United JAVA UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Java United win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.883

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Java United win at 46%.
1′KICK-OFF Isenmulang Kalteng v Java United
2′Little has changed for our model: Java United 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
45′HALF-TIME Isenmulang Kalteng 0–0 Java United
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Java United · On: A. Oropa · Off: T. Rustam
46′SECOND HALF Isenmulang Kalteng 0–0 Java United
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Java United win 37%)
54′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 25–41–34
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 24–42–34
59′Isenmulang Kalteng score on 59′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 68–24–9
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Isenmulang Kalteng 1–0 Java United
59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 9% now
59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Isenmulang Kalteng win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 45%)
60′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–0 · 68–23–8
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Java United · On: Kaio Nunes · Off: L. Brambilla
68′Java United find the net on 68′. 1–1. 1–1 · 20–54–27
68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Java United · On: M. Firly · Off: R. Ardiansyah
68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Java United · On: Ciro · Off: Cleylton
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Isenmulang Kalteng 1–1 Java United
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 27% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Isenmulang Kalteng win 73%)
69′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 19–55–26
70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Isenmulang Kalteng
71′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 18–58–24
77′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 14–67–19
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 15% now
81′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
87′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: Sergio Mendonca · Off: Vinicius Baiano
87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Isenmulang Kalteng · On: M. Konate · Off: K. Nishioka
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Java United win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Java United · On: Y. Roni · Off: Y. Sayuri
92′We said Java United at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
FTFULL TIME Isenmulang Kalteng 1–1 Java United
FTIsenmulang Kalteng 1–1 Java United · Java United win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Java United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Isenmulang Kalteng 30%, draw 24%, Java United 46%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Isenmulang Kalteng v Java UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Isenmulang Kalteng win30%

Draw24%

Java United win46%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueStadion Sriwedari

Line-ups

Isenmulang Kalteng

Java United

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Isenmulang Kalteng

Java United

4Days since last match4

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Java United	5	0	5
17	Isenmulang Kalteng	5	−9	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Isenmulang Kalteng

Formation not confirmed

1 Lucas Frigeri

74 Douglas Cruz

33 Rafael Ribeiro

18 A. Ramdani

4 L. S. Lelis

37 F. Ramadhan

30 B. Pondaag

12 M. Manneh

8 S. Abdillah

97 Vinicius Baiano

14 K. Nishioka

Coach · –

Substitutes

89 · A. Arido

85 · J. Wibowo

13 · M. Fayrushi

31 · I. Feri

66 · G. Al Maruf

10 · M. Konate

34 · Galuh Nata

67 · R. Ariyanto

19 · Satrio Mega

99 · Sergio Mendonca

90 · R. Ramadhan

Java United

Formation not confirmed

1 Jorge

14 R. Ardiansyah

4 Gustavo

3 Cleylton

23 Y. Sayuri

19 T. Rustam

28 Vander

10 L. Brambilla

8 K. Hirose

12 Y. Sayuri

70 Gustavo

Coach · Fabio Lefundes

Substitutes

93 · C. Margono

33 · M. Saputra

35 · A. Kurung

85 · M. Firly

11 · Y. Roni

68 · T. Setiawan

88 · F. Sudin

56 · R. Syuhada

7 · Ciro

21 · F. Butuan

9 · Kaio Nunes

77 · A. Oropa

Our number · java united winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 17 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Java United a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Isenmulang Kalteng v Java United~~1.36 – 1.75

~~Form · Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D0 L4 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 5~~17 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Java United win

Published at 48%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Isenmulang Kalteng win	30%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Java United win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Isenmulang Kalteng or draw	54%	–	–
Isenmulang Kalteng clean sheet	18%	–	–
Java United clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.1 7.6 6.8 4.0 1 5.9 10.8 9.0 5.3 2.4 2 4.2 7.0 6.1 3.5 3 3.2 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Isenmulang Kalteng down, Java United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,583 Liga 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Isenmulang Kalteng at home: 0.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Java United away: 1.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Isenmulang Kalteng, 1.75 for Java United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 1 this season · since 4 Sept

ISENMULANG KALTENG

LLLLW0–4 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

JAVA UNITED

DLLWW1–1 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	5	+6	12
2	Dewa United	5	+4	11
3	Persita	5	+3	11
4	Persepam Madura Utd	5	+3	10
5	Persib Bandung	5	+3	10
6	Bali United	5	+7	9
7	Persebaya Surabaya	5	+2	9
8	Bhayangkara FC	5	+2	7
9	Persik Kediri	5	+2	7
10	Arema FC	5	+2	6
11	Pusamania Borneo	5	−2	6
12	Java United	5	0	5
13	Garudayaksa	5	−1	5
14	PSM Makassar	5	−4	5
15	PSS Sleman	5	−1	4
16	PSIM Yogyakarta	5	−7	1
17	Isenmulang Kalteng	5	−9	1
18	Persijap	5	−10	0