Garudayaksa v Persib Bandung prediction · Liga 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GarudayaksaDrawPersib Bandung

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Persib Bandung 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Persib Bandung are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Garudayaksa 22%, draw 25%, Persib Bandung 53%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Garudayaksa v Persib BandungBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Garudayaksa win22%

Draw25%

Persib Bandung win53%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenuePakansari Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Garudayaksa

Persib Bandung

4Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Persib Bandung	6	+2	10
14	Garudayaksa	6	−6	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · persib bandung winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 23 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off

53% The market53%

Us53%

~~Market~~53%

We make Persib Bandung a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Garudayaksa v Persib Bandung~~0.98 – 1.68

~~Form · Liga 1 this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 10~~14 v 8

~~The market · Persib Bandung win~~53% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Persib Bandung win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Garudayaksa win	22%	22%	0
Draw	25%	25%	0
Persib Bandung win	53%	53%	0
Over 2.5 goals	49%	55%	−6
Both teams to score	50%	56%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	74%	77%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	28%	34%	−6
Garudayaksa or draw	47%	47%	0
Garudayaksa clean sheet	19%	–	–
Persib Bandung clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.6 11.5 9.7 5.5 2.4 1 6.7 11.6 9.3 5.2 2.2 2 3.5 5.6 4.6 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Garudayaksa down, Persib Bandung across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,591 Liga 1 matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.6% of games this season, across 53 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Garudayaksa at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Persib Bandung away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Garudayaksa, 1.68 for Persib Bandung. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Liga 1 this season · since 6 Sept

GARUDAYAKSA

DLDLWL1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 0–5

PERSIB BANDUNG

WLWDWL3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persija	6	+10	15
2	Dewa United	6	+6	14
3	Persepam Madura Utd	6	+4	13
4	Bali United	6	+12	12
5	Persita	5	+3	11
6	Bhayangkara FC	6	+3	10
7	Persik Kediri	6	+3	10
8	Persib Bandung	6	+2	10
9	Persebaya Surabaya	6	+1	9
10	PSM Makassar	6	−3	8
11	Java United	7	0	7
12	Arema FC	6	−2	6
13	Pusamania Borneo	5	−2	6
14	Garudayaksa	6	−6	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	−2	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	7	−9	3
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	7	−8	2
18	Persijap	7	−12	1