Garudayaksa v Arema FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Arema FC win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Arema FC 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–25–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Garudayaksa v Arema FC
4. 5′We said Arema FC at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 63%. 0–1 · 17–20–63
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Garudayaksa 0–1 Arema FC
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Arema FC win: 37% at kick-off, 63% now
7. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Arema FC win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Garudayaksa win 17%)
8. 6′A goal for Arema FC on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–20–63
9. 7′Matheus Blade scores for Arema FC on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–20–63
10. 19′We said Arema FC at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 15–21–65
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 13–21–66
12. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Garudayaksa 1–1 Arema FC
13. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Arema FC win: 37% at kick-off, 34% now
14. 35′Garudayaksa score on 34′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 33–33–33
15. 36′We said Arema FC at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–1 · 67–22–12
16. 36′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 67–22–12
17. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Garudayaksa 2–1 Arema FC
18. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Arema FC win: 37% at kick-off, 12% now
19. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Garudayaksa win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Arema FC win 12%)
20. 37′Garudayaksa find the net on 37′. 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–12
21. 45′SECOND HALF Garudayaksa 2–1 Arema FC
22. 46′We said Arema FC at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 69–22–9
23. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Arema FC · On: Gustavo Franca · Off: Samuel Otusanya
24. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Garudayaksa · On: C. Iury · Off: J. Jean
25. 50′HALF-TIME Garudayaksa 2–1 Arema FC
26. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Arema FC win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
27. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Garudayaksa
28. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Arema FC
29. 66′We said Arema FC at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 77–19–4
30. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Arema FC · On: M. Zijlstra · Off: Gabriel Silva
31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Garudayaksa · On: A. Kaka · Off: M. Sihran
32. 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 96–3–0
33. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Garudayaksa 3–1 Arema FC
34. 71′A goal for Garudayaksa on 70′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–3–0
35. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Arema FC · On: R. Darwis · Off: A. Maulana
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Arema FC · On: L. Guntara · Off: A. Farisi
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Arema FC · On: Tito Hamzah · Off: A. Fikri
38. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Garudayaksa · On: A. Milanesta · Off: A. Setiawan
39. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Garudayaksa · On: A. Gigis · Off: T. Numberi
40. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Garudayaksa
41. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Arema FC
42. FTFULL TIME Garudayaksa 3–1 Arema FC
43. FTGarudayaksa 3–1 Arema FC · Arema FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.