

Bhayangkara FC v PSIM Yogyakarta
Bhayangkara FC
PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 · TUE 20 OCT · Sumpah Pemuda
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bhayangkara FC win at 56%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Bhayangkara FC 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Bhayangkara FC v PSIM Yogyakarta
- 9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' PSIM Yogyakarta
- 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' PSIM Yogyakarta
- 26′🟥 RED CARD · 26' PSIM Yogyakarta
- 27′PSIM Yogyakarta are down to ten from 26′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 50–29–22
- 30′SUBSTITUTION · 29' Bhayangkara FC · On: T. Ichsan · Off: W. Subo
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Bhayangkara FC win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
- 44′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–21
- 44′SUBSTITUTION · 40' PSIM Yogyakarta · On: A. Fadilah · Off: R. Abiyoso
- 45′HALF-TIME Bhayangkara FC 0–0 PSIM Yogyakarta
- 45′SECOND HALF Bhayangkara FC 0–0 PSIM Yogyakarta
- 55′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
- 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 39–43–19
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Bhayangkara FC win 40%)
- 60′A goal for Bhayangkara FC on 59′. 0–0 · 36–46–18
- 60′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Bhayangkara FC win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' Bhayangkara FC 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Bhayangkara FC win: 56% at kick-off, 82% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Bhayangkara FC win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 46%)
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Bhayangkara FC · On: Moises Gaucho · Off: A. Sojberg
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' PSIM Yogyakarta · On: Ahmad Agung · Off: S. Sheva
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' PSIM Yogyakarta · On: R. Hardiawan · Off: R. Cahyana
- 69′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' PSIM Yogyakarta
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Bhayangkara FC win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 65' PSIM Yogyakarta · On: M. Caballero · Off: Y. Yamadera
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Bhayangkara FC
- 79′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 70' M. Caballero · PSIM Yogyakarta
- 86′We said Bhayangkara FC at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Bhayangkara FC win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Bhayangkara FC · On: M. Ferarri · Off: P. Gede
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Bhayangkara FC · On: S. Rizki · Off: Allano
- FTFULL TIME Bhayangkara FC 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta
- FTBhayangkara FC 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta · Bhayangkara FC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Bhayangkara FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bhayangkara FC 56%, draw 23%, PSIM Yogyakarta 22%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Bhayangkara FC win56%
PSIM Yogyakarta win22%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 6
VenueSumpah Pemuda
Match timeline
All events
Bhayangkara FCMIN
PSIM YogyakartaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Bhayangkara FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bhayangkara FC
PSIM Yogyakarta
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Bhayangkara FC
Formation not confirmed
71 M. Fahri
2 P. Gede
7 M. Ristovski
9 A. Sojberg
4 N. Sadiki
10 Allano
6 K. Sibille
11 F. Andika
23 W. Subo
17 M. Sidibe
28 M. Vera
Coach · Oscar Bruzon
Substitutes
12 · Awan Setho
96 · R. Kurnia
58 · F. Missa
22 · Ginanjar
26 · F. Murari
27 · Y. Putra
5 · Moises Gaucho
88 · L. X. Keet
33 · M. Andhika
19 · T. Ichsan
20 · S. Rizki
41 · M. Ferarri
PSIM Yogyakarta
Formation not confirmed
19 C. Supriadi
2 J. van den Avert
8 S. Sheva
10 Ze Valente
3 Y. Yamadera
11 E. Vidal
5 F. Ramos Mingo
13 A. Purzycki
27 R. Abiyoso
15 R. Cahyana
99 N. Haljeta
Coach · Jean-Paul van Gastel
Substitutes
26 · H. Suardi
47 · K. Fikri
14 · R. Teddy
29 · R. Hardiawan
25 · A. Fadilah
23 · G. Fatkur
52 · Ahmad Agung
17 · A. Irfan
6 · M. Iqbal
20 · A. Dalmau
9 · M. Caballero
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Bhayangkara FC
Formation not confirmed
71 M. Fahri
2 P. Gede
7 M. Ristovski
9 A. Sojberg
4 N. Sadiki
10 Allano
6 K. Sibille
11 F. Andika
23 W. Subo
17 M. Sidibe
28 M. Vera
Coach · Oscar Bruzon
Substitutes
12 · Awan Setho
96 · R. Kurnia
58 · F. Missa
22 · Ginanjar
26 · F. Murari
27 · Y. Putra
5 · Moises Gaucho
88 · L. X. Keet
33 · M. Andhika
19 · T. Ichsan
20 · S. Rizki
41 · M. Ferarri
PSIM Yogyakarta
Formation not confirmed
19 C. Supriadi
2 J. van den Avert
8 S. Sheva
10 Ze Valente
3 Y. Yamadera
11 E. Vidal
5 F. Ramos Mingo
13 A. Purzycki
27 R. Abiyoso
15 R. Cahyana
99 N. Haljeta
Coach · Jean-Paul van Gastel
Substitutes
26 · H. Suardi
47 · K. Fikri
14 · R. Teddy
29 · R. Hardiawan
25 · A. Fadilah
23 · G. Fatkur
52 · Ahmad Agung
17 · A. Irfan
6 · M. Iqbal
20 · A. Dalmau
9 · M. Caballero
We make Bhayangkara FC a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.9–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 55%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayangkara FC win | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta win | 22% | 20% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 56% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 35% | +1 |
| Bhayangkara FC or draw | 78% | 80% | −2 |
| Bhayangkara FC clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| PSIM Yogyakarta clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Liga 1 this season · since 5 Sept
BHAYANGKARA FC
PSIM YOGYAKARTA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 | Persita | 5 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Bali United | 5 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 | Persebaya Surabaya | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Arema FC | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 | Pusamania Borneo | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 12 | Java United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 14 | PSM Makassar | 5 | −4 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 5 | −1 | 4 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 5 | −7 | 1 |
| 17 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 5 | −9 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap | 5 | −10 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Persija
Dewa United
Persita
Persepam Madura Utd
Persib Bandung
Bali United
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
Arema FC
Pusamania Borneo
Java United
Garudayaksa
PSM Makassar
PSS Sleman
Isenmulang Kalteng
Persijap