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SC Delhi v ATK Mohun Bagan
SC Delhi
ATK Mohun BaganIndian Super League · FRI 16 OCT · Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ATK Mohun Bagan win at 52%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: ATK Mohun Bagan 52% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 21–25–54
- 1′KICK-OFF SC Delhi v ATK Mohun Bagan
- 16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' ATK Mohun Bagan
- 24′SC Delhi score on 24′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 52–27–21
- 24′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 52–27–21
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' SC Delhi 1–0 ATK Mohun Bagan
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' ATK Mohun Bagan win: 52% at kick-off, 21% now
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' SC Delhi win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was ATK Mohun Bagan win 21%)
- 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' ATK Mohun Bagan
- 30′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 53–27–19
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 54–27–19
- 44′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
- 45′HALF-TIME SC Delhi 1–0 ATK Mohun Bagan
- 46′SECOND HALF SC Delhi 1–0 ATK Mohun Bagan
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' ATK Mohun Bagan win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 56′ATK Mohun Bagan find the net on 56′. 1–1. 1–1 · 17–47–36
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' SC Delhi 1–1 ATK Mohun Bagan
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' ATK Mohun Bagan win: 52% at kick-off, 36% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was SC Delhi win 17%)
- 57′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 17–48–35
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' ATK Mohun Bagan
- 58′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 17–49–34
- 60′A goal for ATK Mohun Bagan on 60′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–83
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' SC Delhi 1–2 ATK Mohun Bagan
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' ATK Mohun Bagan win: 52% at kick-off, 83% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' ATK Mohun Bagan win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 14%)
- 61′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–2 · 2–14–84
- 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–14–84
- 64′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' SC Delhi · On: C. Fernandes · Off: Y. Sanatomba Singh
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' SC Delhi
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' ATK Mohun Bagan
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' ATK Mohun Bagan · On: M. Singh · Off: A. Thapa
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' ATK Mohun Bagan · On: S. Zeljkovic · Off: L. Erwin
- 76′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' ATK Mohun Bagan win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' ATK Mohun Bagan · On: L. Colaco · Off: D. Drazic
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' ATK Mohun Bagan · On: S. Samad · Off: Figueira
- 84′We said ATK Mohun Bagan at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' SC Delhi
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' SC Delhi · On: A. Lalrochana · Off: L. Hangshing
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' ATK Mohun Bagan · On: S. Bose · Off: L. Chhangte
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 70' D. Viafara · SC Delhi
- FTFULL TIME SC Delhi 1–2 ATK Mohun Bagan
- FTSC Delhi 1–2 ATK Mohun Bagan · ATK Mohun Bagan win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassATK Mohun Bagan are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SC Delhi 20%, draw 28%, ATK Mohun Bagan 52%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
SC Delhi win20%
ATK Mohun Bagan win52%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 2
VenueJawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Match timeline
All events
SC DelhiMIN
ATK Mohun BaganEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SC Delhi
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SC Delhi
ATK Mohun Bagan
Last match: 10 Oct · Indian Super League
Last match: 12 Oct · Indian Super League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
SC Delhi
Formation not confirmed
20 N. Fernandes
19 L. Hangshing
45 N. Junior
28 D. Viafara
41 M. Mohammed
4 L. Hnamte
24 M. Azhar
25 Y. Sanatomba Singh
10 J. Pena
7 Rodriguinho
23 M. Aimen
Coach · –
Substitutes
31 · V. Yadav
15 · C. Fernandes
6 · A. Mehta
66 · A. Mehra
18 · A. Lalrochana
8 · R. Ndayishimiye
30 · D. Singh
99 · C. Fortes
27 · K. Sourav
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2
1 V. Kaith
5 M. Singh
2 R. Bheke
21 A. Rodriguez
27 T. Singh
9 L. Chhangte
6 A. Thapa
45 Apuia
71 D. Drazic
10 Figueira
19 L. Erwin
Coach · Panagiotis Dilmperis
Substitutes
24 · S. Zahid
8 · S. Zeljkovic
15 · S. Bose
40 · A. Saji
18 · S. Samad
16 · A. Suryavanshi
11 · M. Singh
72 · S. Bhat
7 · L. Colaco
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SC Delhi
Formation not confirmed
20 N. Fernandes
19 L. Hangshing
45 N. Junior
28 D. Viafara
41 M. Mohammed
4 L. Hnamte
24 M. Azhar
25 Y. Sanatomba Singh
10 J. Pena
7 Rodriguinho
23 M. Aimen
Coach · –
Substitutes
31 · V. Yadav
15 · C. Fernandes
6 · A. Mehta
66 · A. Mehra
18 · A. Lalrochana
8 · R. Ndayishimiye
30 · D. Singh
99 · C. Fortes
27 · K. Sourav
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2
1 V. Kaith
5 M. Singh
2 R. Bheke
21 A. Rodriguez
27 T. Singh
9 L. Chhangte
6 A. Thapa
45 Apuia
71 D. Drazic
10 Figueira
19 L. Erwin
Coach · Panagiotis Dilmperis
Substitutes
24 · S. Zahid
8 · S. Zeljkovic
15 · S. Bose
40 · A. Saji
18 · S. Samad
16 · A. Suryavanshi
11 · M. Singh
72 · S. Bhat
7 · L. Colaco
We make ATK Mohun Bagan a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 53%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Delhi win | 20% | 11% | +9 |
| Draw | 28% | 20% | +8 |
| ATK Mohun Bagan win | 52% | 68% | −16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 60% | −14 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 51% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 81% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 41% | −16 |
| SC Delhi or draw | 48% | 32% | +16 |
| SC Delhi clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| ATK Mohun Bagan clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 Oct
SC DELHI
ATK MOHUN BAGAN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kerala Blasters | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bengaluru | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Churchill Brothers | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Minerva Punjab | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | NorthEast United | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Chennaiyin | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | East Bengal II | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | SC Delhi | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 10 | Odisha | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 11 | Mumbai City | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 12 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kerala Blasters
Bengaluru
Churchill Brothers
Minerva Punjab
NorthEast United
Chennaiyin
Goa
East Bengal II
Odisha
Mumbai City
Inter Kashi