Inter Kashi v Odisha prediction · Indian Super League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Inter Kashi 1–1 Odisha ODISHA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Odisha win~~38%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.770

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.794

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 30 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Odisha win at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: Odisha was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 34–28–38
1′KICK-OFF Inter Kashi v Odisha
35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Inter Kashi
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Odisha win 33%)
45′HALF-TIME Inter Kashi 0–0 Odisha
45′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–0 Odisha
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Inter Kashi
55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–46–28
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Odisha win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
57′Odisha find the net on 57′. 0–0 · 25–47–27
57′We published Odisha at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Inter Kashi 0–1 Odisha
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Odisha win: 38% at kick-off, 75% now
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Odisha win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Odisha win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Odisha · On: Mafela · Off: G. Aburjania Corrected
66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Inter Kashi · On: A. Das · Off: S. Parray Corrected
68′We published Odisha at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Odisha
71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Inter Kashi · On: T. Singh · Off: S. Passi Corrected
71′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Inter Kashi · On: A. Chhikara · Off: M. Singh Corrected
71′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Inter Kashi · On: A. Das · Off: S. Parray Corrected
76′We published Odisha at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Odisha · On: E. S. Vanspaul · Off: M. Molina Corrected
78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Odisha · On: N. Sudeesh · Off: R. Ali Corrected
78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Odisha · On: S. Bhattacharya · Off: S. Gama Corrected
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Odisha win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
82′We published Odisha at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Inter Kashi · On: A. A. Singh · Off: W. Vaz Corrected
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Inter Kashi · On: V. Sreekuttan · Off: H. Sharma Corrected
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Odisha
88′We published Odisha at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
90′A goal for Inter Kashi on 90′. 0–1 · 0–4–96
90′We said Odisha at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Odisha
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Inter Kashi 1–1 Odisha
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Odisha win: 38% at kick-off, 4% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Odisha win 4%)
91′T. Singh scores for Inter Kashi on 89′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 3–93–4
94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Odisha · On: Everton Nascimento · Off: Eid Mahmoud Corrected
FTFULL TIME Inter Kashi 1–1 Odisha
FTInter Kashi 1–1 Odisha · Odisha win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Odisha just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Kashi 34%, draw 28%, Odisha 38%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Inter Kashi v OdishaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Inter Kashi win34%

Draw28%

Odisha win38%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 2

VenueKalyani Stadium

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

Odisha

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Kashi

Odisha

6Days since last match3

Last match: 11 Oct · Indian Super League

Last match: 14 Oct · Indian Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Odisha	1	−1	0
13	Inter Kashi	1	−2	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

32 A. Gomes

26 L. Renthlei

4 P. Chaudhari

2 N. Chandan

6 S. Parray

5 W. Vaz

14 J. Singh

25 S. Passi

18 H. Sharma

17 R. Gabriel

9 M. Singh

Coach · Abhijit Mondal

Substitutes

1 · S. Dhas

33 · G. Singh Gill

19 · L. Castanha

3 · A. Das

15 · K. Panicker

41 · V. Sreekuttan

11 · A. A. Singh

28 · A. Chhikara

20 · T. Singh

Odisha

4-2-3-1

55 H. Tiwari

34 Vanlalzuidika

24 M. Thoiba

66 S. Eze

13 S. Gama

12 M. Molina

7 Puitea

22 N. Sekar

29 G. Aburjania

11 R. Ali

93 Eid Mahmoud

Coach · Purushothaman Thekkathara Gopalakrishnan

Substitutes

99 · M. Dubey

6 · S. Bhanwala

33 · E. S. Vanspaul

3 · S. Bhattacharya

25 · Mafela

47 · A. Vazhappill

8 · Everton Nascimento

77 · N. Sudeesh

15 · V. Suhair

Our number · odisha winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

38% The market46%

Us38%

~~Market~~46%

We make Odisha a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Kashi v Odisha~~1.32 – 1.40

~~Form · Indian Super League this season · since 11 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~13 v 10

~~The market · Odisha win~~46% · ours 38%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Odisha win The market, margin stripped

Published at 36%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Kashi win	34%	26%	+8
Draw	28%	28%	0
Odisha win	38%	46%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	51%	48%	+3
Both teams to score	55%	52%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	71%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	29%	28%	+1
Inter Kashi or draw	62%	54%	+8
Inter Kashi clean sheet	25%	–	–
Odisha clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 8.4 7.9 6.5 3.1 1 7.4 13.3 8.2 3.9 2 5.8 7.8 5.3 2.5 3 2.6 3.5 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Kashi down, Odisha across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 747 Indian Super League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Indian Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Kashi at home: 0.80 scored, 1.80 conceded a game (last 5). Odisha away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Inter Kashi, 1.40 for Odisha. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ODI 0–0 INT · ODI 3–0 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Indian Super League this season · since 11 Oct

INTER KASHI

L0–2

ODISHA

L1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kerala Blasters	1	+2	3
2	Bengaluru	1	+1	3
3	Churchill Brothers	1	+1	3
4	Minerva Punjab	1	+1	3
5	NorthEast United	1	+1	3
6	ATK Mohun Bagan	2	0	3
7	Chennaiyin	1	0	1
8	Goa	1	0	1
9	East Bengal II	0	0	0
10	Odisha	1	−1	0
11	Mumbai City	1	−1	0
12	SC Delhi	2	−2	0
13	Inter Kashi	1	−2	0