Inter Kashi v Kerala Blasters prediction · Indian Super League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Inter Kashi 0–2 Kerala Blasters KERALA BLASTERS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kerala Blasters win~~36%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.624

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.334

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 32 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kerala Blasters win at 36%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Kerala Blasters 36% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 36–27–37
1′KICK-OFF Inter Kashi v Kerala Blasters
17′⚽ GOAL · 18' Inter Kashi 0–0 Kerala Blasters
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
22′V. Mohanan scores for Kerala Blasters on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–21–66
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 37% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 37% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
24′V. Mohanan scores for Kerala Blasters on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–21–67
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 37% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 67% now
44′We said Kerala Blasters at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 8–21–71
45′We said Kerala Blasters at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 8–21–71
45′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
46′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kerala Blasters · On: M. Yansane · Off: N. Kosovic
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kerala Blasters · On: P. Ramfangzauva · Off: K. Singh
47′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 71% now
48′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 71% now
49′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Kerala Blasters win: 36% at kick-off, 71% now
50′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Inter Kashi · On: T. Singh · Off: A. Das
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Inter Kashi · On: A. Chhikara · Off: M. Singh
68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Inter Kashi · On: S. Parray · Off: L. Renthlei
69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Kerala Blasters · On: M. K. Sanan · Off: V. Mohanan
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kerala Blasters · On: Ebindas Y · Off: S. M S
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Inter Kashi · On: V. Sreekuttan · Off: R. Gabriel
90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Inter Kashi · On: A. A. Singh · Off: H. Sharma
91′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Inter Kashi · On: A. A. Singh · Off: H. Sharma
92′⚽ GOAL · 94' Inter Kashi 0–1 Kerala Blasters
94′⚽ GOAL · 94' Inter Kashi 0–2 Kerala Blasters · V. Mohanan
FTFULL TIME Inter Kashi 0–2 Kerala Blasters
FTInter Kashi 0–2 Kerala Blasters · Kerala Blasters win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Inter Kashi win34%

Draw30%

Kerala Blasters win36%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

VenueKalyani Stadium

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

Kerala Blasters

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Inter Kashi

Kerala Blasters

143Days since last match146

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

32 A. Gomes

26 L. Renthlei

4 P. Chaudhari

2 N. Chandan

3 A. Das

5 W. Vaz

14 J. Singh

25 S. Passi

18 H. Sharma

17 R. Gabriel

9 M. Singh

Coach · Abhijit Mondal

Substitutes

1 · S. Dhas

33 · G. Singh Gill

19 · L. Castanha

6 · S. Parray

15 · K. Panicker

41 · V. Sreekuttan

11 · A. A. Singh

28 · A. Chhikara

20 · T. Singh

Kerala Blasters

4-2-3-1

31 A. Shaikh

4 H. Ruivah

13 J. Bolton

27 A. Dohling

5 S. Sharma

6 F. Lallawmawma

23 N. Kosovic

7 K. Singh

8 V. Mohanan

9 A. Green

45 S. M S

Coach · David Catala

Substitutes

1 · A. Singh

3 · S. Singh

19 · J. Jayan

15 · S. Tavora

16 · P. Ramfangzauva

47 · Ebindas Y

46 · Ramhlunchhunga

11 · M. K. Sanan

99 · M. Yansane

Our number · kerala blasters winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

36% The market53%

Us36%

~~Market~~53%

We make Kerala Blasters a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kerala blasters win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Kashi win	34%	21%	+14
Draw	30%	26%	+4
Kerala Blasters win	36%	53%	−17
Over 2.5 goals	46%	46%	−1
Both teams to score	52%	48%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	73%	70%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	25%	26%	−2
Inter Kashi or draw	64%	47%	+17
Inter Kashi clean sheet	29%	–	–
Kerala Blasters clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%

0123450 10.2 8.7 6.5 2.8 1 8.5 14.1 7.8 3.4 2 6.3 7.7 4.8 2.1 3 2.7 3.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Kashi down, Kerala Blasters across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 742 Indian Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Indian Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Kashi at home: 1.00 scored, 1.75 conceded a game (last 4). Kerala Blasters away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Inter Kashi, 1.27 for Kerala Blasters. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KER 1–2 INT

Form · last six in Indian Super League

INTER KASHI

WLLDDL1–0 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

KERALA BLASTERS

WDWWWW2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bengaluru	1	+1	3
2	Chennaiyin	1	0	1
3	Goa	1	0	1
4	SC Delhi	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Inter Kashi v Kerala Blasters

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

Kerala Blasters

Rest & schedule

Inter Kashi

Kerala Blasters

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

Kerala Blasters

Match statistics

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

Kerala Blasters

Head to head

Form · last six in Indian Super League

The table