Inter Kashi v East Bengal II prediction · Indian Super League

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 15:01

Inter Kashi 1–5 East Bengal II EAST BENGAL II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said East Bengal II win~~52%

~~The market said~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.342

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.127

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said East Bengal II win at 52%.
1′Little has changed for our model: East Bengal II 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 21–27–52
1′KICK-OFF Inter Kashi v East Bengal II
8′East Bengal II score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–13–79
8′We said East Bengal II at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 8–13–79
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Inter Kashi 0–1 East Bengal II
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' East Bengal II win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
16′East Bengal II find the net on 16′. 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Inter Kashi 0–2 East Bengal II
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' East Bengal II win: 52% at kick-off, 93% now
17′We said East Bengal II at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 2–5–93
23′A goal for East Bengal II on 22′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–98
23′We said East Bengal II at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–3 · 0–1–98
23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Inter Kashi 0–3 East Bengal II
29′Inter Kashi score on 28′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 1–5–94
29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Inter Kashi 1–3 East Bengal II
31′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–5–94
34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' East Bengal II
34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Inter Kashi
36′East Bengal II find the net on 35′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–1–99
36′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–1–99
36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Inter Kashi 1–4 East Bengal II
45′HALF-TIME Inter Kashi 1–4 East Bengal II
46′SECOND HALF Inter Kashi 1–4 East Bengal II
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Inter Kashi · On: A. Das · Off: S. Parray
54′We said East Bengal II at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–4 · 0–0–100
54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Inter Kashi
58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' East Bengal II
62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' East Bengal II · On: L. Zwolinski · Off: A. Loba
63′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Inter Kashi · On: T. Singh · Off: R. Gabriel
63′SUBSTITUTION · 46' East Bengal II · On: Jeakson Singh · Off: M. Rashid
63′SUBSTITUTION · 46' East Bengal II · On: C. Ikonomidis · Off: B. Singh
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Inter Kashi · On: V. Sreekuttan · Off: S. Passi
69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Inter Kashi · On: G. Singh Gill · Off: N. Chandan
69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' East Bengal II · On: S. Mandi · Off: J. Gupta
82′A goal for East Bengal II on 82′ — 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
82′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–5 · 0–0–100
82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' East Bengal II · On: D. Lalhlansanga · Off: Dani Ramirez
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Inter Kashi · On: M. Singh · Off: A. Chhikara
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Inter Kashi 1–5 East Bengal II
FTFULL TIME Inter Kashi 1–5 East Bengal II
FTInter Kashi 1–5 East Bengal II · East Bengal II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

East Bengal II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Kashi 21%, draw 27%, East Bengal II 52%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Inter Kashi v East Bengal IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Inter Kashi win21%

Draw27%

East Bengal II win52%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 3

VenueKalyani Stadium

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

East Bengal II

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Kashi

East Bengal II

6Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Indian Super League

Last match: 18 Oct · Indian Super League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	East Bengal II	1	+4	3
12	Inter Kashi	2	−2	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Inter Kashi

4-2-3-1

32 Albino Gomes

26 Laldinliana Renthlei

4 Pratik Chaudhari

2 Nishchal Chandan

6 Hussain Parray Sajad

5 Wayne Vaz

14 Jitendra Singh

25 Sumeet Passi

18 Hitesh Sharma

17 Rosenberg Gabriel

28 Ayush Chhikara

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · Aritra Das

20 · Huidrom Thoi Singh

41 · Sreekuttan VS

33 · Gursimrat Gill

9 · Manvir Singh

1 · Shubham Dhas

15 · Karthik Panicker

8 · Sourav Das

11 · Ashangbam Aphaoba Singh

East Bengal II

4-4-2

13 Prabhsukhan Gill

3 Hardik Bhatt

5 Chungnunga Lal

4 Anwar Ali

27 Jay Gupta

29 Bipin Singh

74 Mohammed Rashid

6 Rohit Kumar

7 Vishnu PV

90 Aké Arnaud Loba

11 Dani Ramirez

Coach · –

Substitutes

25 · Jeakson Singh

8 · Christopher Ikonomidis

99 · Łukasz Zwoliński

34 · Sandip Mandi

14 · David Lalhlansanga

95 · Gourab Shaw

86 · Joseph Justin

21 · Diego Živulić

10 · Edmund Lalrindika

Our number · east bengal ii winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

52% The market71%

Us52%

~~Market~~71%

We make East Bengal II a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Kashi v East Bengal II~~1.02 – 1.74

~~Form · Indian Super League this season · since 11 Oct~~W0 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~12 v 4

~~The market · East Bengal II win~~71% · ours 52%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · East Bengal II win The market, margin stripped

Published at 49%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Kashi win	21%	11%	+10
Draw	27%	18%	+9
East Bengal II win	52%	71%	−19
Over 2.5 goals	52%	59%	−7
Both teams to score	53%	47%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	77%	80%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	30%	39%	−9
Inter Kashi or draw	48%	29%	+19
Inter Kashi clean sheet	18%	–	–
East Bengal II clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%

0123450 8.2 9.7 9.4 5.5 2.5 1 5.2 12.5 9.4 5.4 2.4 2 3.4 5.6 4.8 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Kashi down, East Bengal II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 752 Indian Super League matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Indian Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Kashi at home: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). East Bengal II away: 2.40 scored, 0.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for Inter Kashi, 1.74 for East Bengal II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~INT 1–2 EAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Indian Super League this season · since 11 Oct

INTER KASHI

LD0–2 · 1–1

EAST BENGAL II

W4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NorthEast United	2	+4	6
2	Bengaluru	2	+3	6
3	Minerva Punjab	2	+1	4
4	East Bengal II	1	+4	3
5	ATK Mohun Bagan	2	0	3
6	Kerala Blasters	2	−1	3
7	Churchill Brothers	2	−3	3
8	Goa	1	0	1
9	Odisha	2	−1	1
10	Mumbai City	2	−1	1
11	Chennaiyin	2	−2	1
12	Inter Kashi	2	−2	1
13	SC Delhi	2	−2	0