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Goa v SC Delhi
Goa
SC DelhiIndian Super League · WED 28 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Goa are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Goa 50%, draw 28%, SC Delhi 22%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Goa win50%
SC Delhi win22%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 3
Match timeline
All events
GoaMIN
SC DelhiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Goa
SC Delhi
Last match: 23 Oct · AFC Challenge League
Last match: 16 Oct · Indian Super League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Goa a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 51%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goa win | 50% | 59% | −9 |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | +5 |
| SC Delhi win | 22% | 18% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 33% | −6 |
| Goa or draw | 78% | 82% | −4 |
| Goa clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| SC Delhi clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 Oct
GOA
SC DELHI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Bengal II | 2 | +8 | 6 |
| 2 | NorthEast United | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Minerva Punjab | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kerala Blasters | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 7 | Churchill Brothers | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 8 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Odisha | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mumbai City | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 11 | Chennaiyin | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 12 | Inter Kashi | 3 | −6 | 1 |
| 13 | SC Delhi | 2 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
East Bengal II
NorthEast United
Bengaluru
Minerva Punjab
ATK Mohun Bagan
Kerala Blasters
Churchill Brothers
Odisha
Mumbai City
Chennaiyin
Inter Kashi