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Model 1.2

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Goa v SC Delhi

Goa
14:00Upcoming
SC Delhi

Indian Super League · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GoaDrawSC Delhi
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Goa 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Goa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Goa 50%, draw 28%, SC Delhi 22%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Goa v SC DelhiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Goa win50%
Draw28%
SC Delhi win22%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Goa

SC Delhi

5Days since last match12

Last match: 23 Oct · AFC Challenge League

Last match: 16 Oct · Indian Super League

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Goa101
13SC Delhi2−20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · goa winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
50% The market59%
Us50%
Market59%

We make Goa a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Goa v SC Delhi1.63 – 0.99
Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 OctW0 D1 L0 · W0 D0 L2
Table places · points 1 v 08 v 13
The market · Goa win59% · ours 50%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 22 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:42
Our probability · Goa win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Goa win50%59%−9
Draw28%23%+5
SC Delhi win22%18%+4
Over 2.5 goals48%53%−5
Both teams to score51%51%0
Over 1.5 goals75%75%0
Over 3.5 goals27%33%−6
Goa or draw78%82%−4
Goa clean sheet38%––
SC Delhi clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%
0123450 9.2 5.9 3.7 1 10.4 13.0 5.7 2 9.5 9.1 4.5 3 5.2 5.0 2.5 4 2.2 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Goa down, SC Delhi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsGOA 1–0 SCD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 Oct

GOA

D1–1

SC DELHI

LL2–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1East Bengal II2+86
2NorthEast United2+46
3Bengaluru2+36
4Minerva Punjab2+14
5ATK Mohun Bagan203
6Kerala Blasters2−13
7Churchill Brothers2−33
8Goa101
9Odisha2−11
10Mumbai City2−11
11Chennaiyin2−21
12Inter Kashi3−61
13SC Delhi2−20

The competition's standings before kick-off.