Bengaluru v Chennaiyin prediction · Indian Super League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Bengaluru 2–0 Chennaiyin BENGALURU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bengaluru win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.317

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bengaluru win at 54%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Bengaluru 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–26–20
1′KICK-OFF Bengaluru v Chennaiyin
7′Little has changed for our model: Bengaluru 54% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–27–20
25′A goal for Bengaluru on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–14–6
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Bengaluru 1–0 Chennaiyin
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Bengaluru win: 54% at kick-off, 80% now
26′We said Bengaluru at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–6
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–6
33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Bengaluru
35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Chennaiyin
45′HALF-TIME Bengaluru 1–0 Chennaiyin
46′SECOND HALF Bengaluru 1–0 Chennaiyin
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bengaluru · On: A. Kuruniyan · Off: R. Williams Corrected
47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Bengaluru
49′12 shots for Chennaiyin, 6 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
53′Bengaluru score on 53′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Bengaluru 2–0 Chennaiyin
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Bengaluru win: 54% at kick-off, 97% now
54′We said Bengaluru at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
56′52′: M. Perovic on the scoresheet for Bengaluru, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Bengaluru · On: R. Singh · Off: C. Singh Corrected
68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Bengaluru · On: N. Poojari · Off: R. Meetei Corrected
68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Chennaiyin · On: B. Miranda · Off: I. Yadwad Corrected
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Chennaiyin · On: P. Laldinpuia · Off: N. Bhutia Corrected
72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Bengaluru · On: S. Chhetri · Off: S. Varshneya Corrected
79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Bengaluru
80′We said Bengaluru at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
82′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Chennaiyin · On: B. Fernandes · Off: S. Prakadeswaran Corrected
87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Chennaiyin · On: J. Singh · Off: L. Chawngthu Corrected
87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Chennaiyin · On: S. Rawat · Off: A. Chhetri Corrected
89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Bengaluru · On: S. Singh · Off: M. de Iriondo Corrected
FTFULL TIME Bengaluru 2–0 Chennaiyin
FTBengaluru 2–0 Chennaiyin · Bengaluru win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bengaluru are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bengaluru 54%, draw 26%, Chennaiyin 20%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Bengaluru v ChennaiyinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bengaluru win54%

Draw26%

Chennaiyin win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 2

VenueSree Kanteerava Stadium

Line-ups

Bengaluru

4-2-3-1

Chennaiyin

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bengaluru

Chennaiyin

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Indian Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Bengaluru	1	+1	3
7	Chennaiyin	1	0	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bengaluru

4-2-3-1

1 S. G. Singh

18 R. Meetei

3 M. Koch

4 C. Singh

51 C. Sing

5 M. de Iriondo

23 L. Fanai

14 S. Varshneya

10 R. Williams

7 B. Martinez

9 M. Perovic

Coach · Pep Munoz

Substitutes

28 · L. Ralte

30 · S. Poonia

6 · S. Embalo

27 · N. Poojari

32 · R. Singh

8 · S. Singh

11 · S. Chhetri

22 · A. Kuruniyan

29 · S. Worneilen

Chennaiyin

4-4-2

13 M. Nawaz

27 N. Bhutia

4 N. Reis

2 E. Imanishimwe

5 M. Saheef

52 S. Prakadeswaran

17 L. Chawngthu

14 A. Chhetri

24 I. Yadwad

10 M. Talal

7 Ramon Tanque

Coach · Clifford Miranda

Substitutes

1 · S. Mitra

3 · P. Laldinpuia

32 · D. Biswas

47 · K. Pereira

37 · J. Singh

42 · B. Fernandes

43 · N. Meitei

16 · S. Rawat

11 · B. Miranda

Our number · bengaluru winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Bengaluru a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bengaluru v Chennaiyin~~1.78 – 0.99

~~Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~2 v 7

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bengaluru win	54%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Chennaiyin win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Bengaluru or draw	80%	–	–
Bengaluru clean sheet	38%	–	–
Chennaiyin clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 8.0 5.1 3.2 1 10.0 12.1 5.4 2 9.8 9.4 4.7 3 5.8 5.6 2.8 4 2.7 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bengaluru down, Chennaiyin across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 747 Indian Super League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Indian Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bengaluru at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Chennaiyin away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Bengaluru, 0.99 for Chennaiyin. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CHE 1–2 BEN · BEN 1–0 CHE · CHE 2–4 BEN · BEN 1–0 CHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Indian Super League this season · since 10 Oct

BENGALURU

W3–2

CHENNAIYIN

D1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kerala Blasters	1	+2	3
2	Bengaluru	1	+1	3
3	Churchill Brothers	1	+1	3
4	Minerva Punjab	1	+1	3
5	NorthEast United	1	+1	3
6	ATK Mohun Bagan	2	0	3
7	Chennaiyin	1	0	1
8	Goa	1	0	1
9	East Bengal II	0	0	0
10	Odisha	1	−1	0
11	Mumbai City	1	−1	0
12	SC Delhi	2	−2	0
13	Inter Kashi	1	−2	0