IBV Vestmannaeyjar v FH hafnarfjordur

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FH hafnarfjordur win at 38%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: FH hafnarfjordur was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
3. 2′KICK-OFF IBV Vestmannaeyjar v FH hafnarfjordur
4. 12′11′: O. Sowe on the scoresheet for IBV Vestmannaeyjar, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 63–21–16
5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–0 FH hafnarfjordur · O. Sowe
6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' FH hafnarfjordur win: 38% at kick-off, 16% now
7. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' IBV Vestmannaeyjar win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was FH hafnarfjordur win 16%)
8. 13′We said FH hafnarfjordur at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–0 · 63–21–16
9. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' G. Tryggvason · FH hafnarfjordur
10. 23′We said FH hafnarfjordur at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–21–14
11. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' F. Fridriksson · IBV Vestmannaeyjar
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 65–22–13
13. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 36' B. Gunnarsson · IBV Vestmannaeyjar
14. 39′A red card for IBV Vestmannaeyjar on 36′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 67–22–11
15. 39′🟥 RED CARD · 36' B. Gunnarsson · IBV Vestmannaeyjar
16. 45′HALF-TIME IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–0 FH hafnarfjordur
17. 46′We said FH hafnarfjordur at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
18. 46′SECOND HALF IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–0 FH hafnarfjordur
19. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' FH hafnarfjordur win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
20. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FH hafnarfjordur · On: S. Hjaltested · Off: G. Tryggvason
21. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' I. Olafsson · FH hafnarfjordur
22. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' T. Robertsson · FH hafnarfjordur
23. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FH hafnarfjordur · On: R. Saevarsson · Off: T. Robertsson
24. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FH hafnarfjordur · On: A. Gudmundsson · Off: I. Olafsson
25. 66′We said FH hafnarfjordur at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
26. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' FH hafnarfjordur · On: A. Steinarsson · Off: B. Helgason
27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' IBV Vestmannaeyjar · On: V. Valgeirsson · Off: E. Gautason
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' IBV Vestmannaeyjar · On: S. Hardarson · Off: H. Magnusson
29. 73′IBV Vestmannaeyjar ahead on 73′ through V. Valgeirsson. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
30. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–0 FH hafnarfjordur · V. Valgeirsson
31. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' IBV Vestmannaeyjar · On: R. Hlynsson · Off: S. Magnusson
32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FH hafnarfjordur · On: B. Thorsson · Off: G. Gislason Corrected
33. 80′K. Halldorsson scores for FH hafnarfjordur on 80′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
34. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–1 FH hafnarfjordur · K. Halldorsson
35. 81′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
36. 83′82′: A. Kristinsson on the scoresheet for IBV Vestmannaeyjar, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
37. 83′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
38. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3–1 FH hafnarfjordur · A. Kristinsson
39. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' IBV Vestmannaeyjar · On: S. Sigursveinsson · Off: V. Valor
40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' IBV Vestmannaeyjar · On: L. Jeffs · Off: O. Sowe
41. FTFULL TIME IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3–1 FH hafnarfjordur
42. FTIBV Vestmannaeyjar 3–1 FH hafnarfjordur · FH hafnarfjordur win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.