Szekszárd v Majosi prediction · NB III - Southwest

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Szekszárd 1–2 Majosi MAJOSI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Majosi win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.136

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Majosi are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Szekszárd 16%, draw 14%, Majosi 70%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Szekszárd v MajosiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Szekszárd win16%

Draw14%

Majosi win70%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Szekszárd

Majosi

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Majosi	11	+1	18
15	Szekszárd	11	−40	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · majosi winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Majosi a 70% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–3.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Szekszárd v Majosi~~1.45 – 3.31

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug~~W0 D0 L6 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 18~~15 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Szekszárd win	16%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Majosi win	70%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	67%	–	–
Szekszárd or draw	30%	–	–
Szekszárd clean sheet	6%	–	–
Majosi clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 6.7%

0123450 3.4 4.8 4.7 3.7 2.61 5.0 6.7 6.5 5.1 3.52 3.6 4.9 4.6 3.6 2.43 2.4 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Szekszárd down, Majosi across0–5 goals a side shown (84.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 NB III - Southwest matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.7% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Szekszárd at home: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Majosi away: 1.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Szekszárd, 3.31 for Majosi. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~2 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MAJ 5–4 SZE · SZE 1–0 MAJ · SZE 0–1 MAJ · MAJ 2–1 SZE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug

SZEKSZÁRD

LLLLLL1–3 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 1–8 · 1–4 · 0–3

MAJOSI

WWWDDW3–2 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pécsi MFC	12	+30	34
2	Kaposvar	11	+17	22
3	Ferencváros II	11	+11	21
4	Dunaharaszti MTK	12	+4	20
5	Iváncsa	11	+3	18
6	Majosi	11	+1	18
7	Budafoki LC	11	+3	17
8	PTE-PEAC	11	+1	16
9	MTK Budapest II	10	+6	15
10	Érdi VSE	11	0	15
11	Siofok	11	+3	14
12	Budaörs	11	−13	12
13	Paksi SE II	11	−4	7
14	Sárbogárd	11	−22	5
15	Szekszárd	11	−40	0