Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › NB III - Southwest › Siofok v Ferencváros II

Back
Hungary flag

Siofok v Ferencváros II

Siofok
3–1Full time
Ferencváros II

NB III - Southwest · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Siofok 3–1 Ferencváros II FERENCVÁROS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ferencváros II win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.668

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ferencváros II win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ferencváros II 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 34–23–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Siofok v Ferencváros II
  4. 35′Siofok score on 35′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 62–23–15
  5. 35′We said Ferencváros II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–0 · 62–23–15
  6. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Siofok 1–0 Ferencváros II
  7. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Ferencváros II win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
  8. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Siofok win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Ferencváros II win 38%)
  9. 36′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 63–23–15
  10. 38′We said Ferencváros II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–23–14
  11. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Ferencváros II win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Siofok 1–0 Ferencváros II
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Siofok 1–0 Ferencváros II
  14. 51′Siofok find the net on 50′. 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
  15. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Siofok 2–0 Ferencváros II
  16. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Ferencváros II win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  17. 52′We said Ferencváros II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 2–0 · 90–8–2
  18. 56′A goal for Siofok on 56′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–0
  19. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Siofok 3–0 Ferencváros II
  20. 86′Ferencváros II score on 86′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  21. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Siofok 3–1 Ferencváros II
  22. 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  23. FTFULL TIME Siofok 3–1 Ferencváros II
  24. FTSiofok 3–1 Ferencváros II · Ferencváros II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ferencváros II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Siofok 34%, draw 23%, Ferencváros II 43%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Siofok v Ferencváros IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Siofok win34%
Draw23%
Ferencváros II win43%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Siofok

Ferencváros II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southwest

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Ferencváros II11+1121
11Siofok11+314

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ferencváros ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Ferencváros II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Siofok v Ferencváros II1.51 – 1.72
Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 29 AugW3 D0 L3 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 14 v 2111 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Siofok win34%––
Draw23%––
Ferencváros II win43%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Siofok or draw57%––
Siofok clean sheet19%––
Ferencváros II clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.5 6.8 5.9 3.4 1 6.1 10.3 8.4 4.8 2.2 2 4.7 7.5 6.3 3.6 3 2.4 3.8 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Siofok down, Ferencváros II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsFER 1–1 SIO · SIO 0–1 FER · FER 3–0 SIO · SIO 1–2 FER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug

SIOFOK

WWWLLL3–1 · 4–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–3

FERENCVÁROS II

DLDWWW3–3 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Pécsi MFC12+3034
2Kaposvar11+1722
3Ferencváros II11+1121
4Dunaharaszti MTK12+420
5Iváncsa11+318
6Majosi11+118
7Budafoki LC11+317
8PTE-PEAC11+116
9MTK Budapest II10+615
10Érdi VSE11015
11Siofok11+314
12Budaörs11−1312
13Paksi SE II11−47
14Sárbogárd11−225
15Szekszárd11−400

The competition's standings before kick-off.