MTK Budapest II v Kaposvar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kaposvar win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kaposvar was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 37–23–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF MTK Budapest II v Kaposvar
4. 8′MTK Budapest II find the net on 8′. 1–0. 1–0 · 61–19–20
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' MTK Budapest II 1–0 Kaposvar
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
7. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' MTK Budapest II win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Kaposvar win 39%)
8. 9′We said Kaposvar at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 61–20–20
9. 10′A goal for Kaposvar on 10′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–24–39
10. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' MTK Budapest II 1–1 Kaposvar
11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 39% now
12. 36′MTK Budapest II score on 36′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 64–22–14
13. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' MTK Budapest II 2–1 Kaposvar
14. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 14% now
15. 37′We said Kaposvar at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 64–22–14
16. 43′Kaposvar find the net on 43′. 2–2. 2–2 · 32–33–34
17. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' MTK Budapest II 2–2 Kaposvar
18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 34% now
19. 44′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–34–34
20. 45′HALF-TIME MTK Budapest II 2–2 Kaposvar
21. 46′SECOND HALF MTK Budapest II 2–2 Kaposvar
22. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was MTK Budapest II win 66%)
23. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
24. 62′We said Kaposvar at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 27–45–28
25. 66′A goal for MTK Budapest II on 66′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 74–21–6
26. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' MTK Budapest II 3–2 Kaposvar
27. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 6% now
28. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' MTK Budapest II win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 49%)
29. 67′We said Kaposvar at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–2 · 75–20–5
30. 67′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 75–20–5
31. 70′We said Kaposvar at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–2 · 76–19–4
32. 84′Kaposvar score on 84′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 9–81–10
33. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' MTK Budapest II 3–3 Kaposvar
34. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was MTK Budapest II win 90%)
35. 85′6 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 9–82–9
36. 94′Kaposvar find the net on 90′. 3–4. 3–4 · 0–2–98
37. 94′We published Kaposvar at 40%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–4 · 0–2–98
38. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' MTK Budapest II 3–4 Kaposvar
39. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Kaposvar win: 40% at kick-off, 98% now
40. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Kaposvar win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 95%)
41. 95′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 0–2–98
42. FTFULL TIME MTK Budapest II 3–4 Kaposvar
43. FTMTK Budapest II 3–4 Kaposvar · Kaposvar win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.