Kaposvar v PTE-PEAC prediction · NB III - Southwest

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KaposvarDrawPTE-PEAC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kaposvar 74%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kaposvar are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kaposvar 74%, draw 16%, PTE-PEAC 10%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Kaposvar v PTE-PEACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Kaposvar win74%

Draw16%

PTE-PEAC win10%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kaposvar

PTE-PEAC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB III - Southwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Kaposvar	12	+18	25
10	PTE-PEAC	12	−2	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kaposvar winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Kaposvar a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kaposvar v PTE-PEAC~~2.59 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 25 v 16~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kaposvar win	74%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
PTE-PEAC win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Kaposvar or draw	90%	–	–
Kaposvar clean sheet	43%	–	–
PTE-PEAC clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.7%

0123450 3.7 2.8 1 8.5 7.2 3.0 2 10.7 8.8 3.7 3 9.1 7.5 3.2 4 5.9 4.8 2.1 5 3.2 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Kaposvar down, PTE-PEAC across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,570 NB III - Southwest matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.7% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kaposvar at home: 3.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). PTE-PEAC away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.59 goals for Kaposvar, 0.85 for PTE-PEAC. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KAP 1–0 PTE · PTE 0–1 KAP · KAP 2–1 PTE · PTE 0–1 KAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 19 Sept

KAPOSVAR

LDLWWW1–4 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 7–0 · 4–3

PTE-PEAC

DDDLLL1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pécsi MFC	13	+36	37
2	Kaposvar	12	+18	25
3	Ferencváros II	12	+9	21
4	Iváncsa	12	+6	21
5	Majosi	12	+2	21
6	Dunaharaszti MTK	12	+4	20
7	Budafoki LC	12	+3	18
8	Siofok	12	+5	17
9	Érdi VSE	12	0	16
10	PTE-PEAC	12	−2	16
11	MTK Budapest II	11	+5	15
12	Budaörs	12	−19	12
13	Paksi SE II	12	+2	10
14	Sárbogárd	12	−28	5
15	Szekszárd	12	−41	0