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Iváncsa v MTK Budapest II
Iváncsa
MTK Budapest IINB III - Southwest · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Iváncsa win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Iváncsa 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–22–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Iváncsa v MTK Budapest II
- 7′Iváncsa find the net on 7′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–17–17
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Iváncsa 1–0 MTK Budapest II
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 66% now
- 8′We said Iváncsa at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–18–17
- 17′A goal for MTK Budapest II on 17′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 41–25–34
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Iváncsa 1–1 MTK Budapest II
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 41% now
- 29′Iváncsa score on 28′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 67–19–13
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Iváncsa 2–1 MTK Budapest II
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 67% now
- 30′MTK Budapest II find the net on 30′. 2–2. 2–2 · 39–28–32
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Iváncsa 2–2 MTK Budapest II
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 39% now
- 31′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 39–28–32
- 33′A goal for Iváncsa on 33′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 68–19–13
- 33′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 68–19–13
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Iváncsa 3–2 MTK Budapest II
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
- 36′Iváncsa score on 36′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 88–8–4
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Iváncsa 4–2 MTK Budapest II
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 88% now
- 37′We said Iváncsa at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 4–2 · 88–8–4
- 37′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 88–8–4
- 44′We said Iváncsa at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 4–2 · 90–8–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Iváncsa 4–2 MTK Budapest II
- 46′SECOND HALF Iváncsa 4–2 MTK Budapest II
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Iváncsa win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 64′We said Iváncsa at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 4–2 · 95–4–1
- 85′We said Iváncsa at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 88′Iváncsa find the net on 88′. 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 88′7 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Iváncsa 5–2 MTK Budapest II
- FTFULL TIME Iváncsa 5–2 MTK Budapest II
- FTIváncsa 5–2 MTK Budapest II · Iváncsa win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassIváncsa are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Iváncsa 43%, draw 22%, MTK Budapest II 35%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Iváncsa win43%
MTK Budapest II win35%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundSouthwest · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
IváncsaMIN
MTK Budapest IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Iváncsa
MTK Budapest II
Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Southwest
Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Southwest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Iváncsa a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 44%, 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iváncsa win | 43% | – | – |
| Draw | 22% | – | – |
| MTK Budapest II win | 35% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 66% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Iváncsa or draw | 65% | – | – |
| Iváncsa clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| MTK Budapest II clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 15 Aug
IVÁNCSA
MTK BUDAPEST II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 11 | +27 | 31 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Ferencváros II | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Budafoki LC | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | PTE-PEAC | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | +9 | 15 |
| 8 | Iváncsa | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Majosi | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Siofok | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Érdi VSE | 10 | −2 | 12 |
| 12 | Budaörs | 10 | −10 | 12 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 11 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | −15 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 10 | −37 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pécsi MFC
Kaposvar
Ferencváros II
Budafoki LC
Dunaharaszti MTK
PTE-PEAC
Majosi
Siofok
Érdi VSE
Budaörs
Paksi SE II
Sárbogárd
Szekszárd