Iváncsa v Budafoki LC prediction · NB III - Southwest

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

IváncsaDrawBudafoki LC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Iváncsa 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Iváncsa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Iváncsa 59%, draw 19%, Budafoki LC 21%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Iváncsa v Budafoki LCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Iváncsa win59%

Draw19%

Budafoki LC win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Iváncsa

Budafoki LC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB III - Southwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Iváncsa	12	+6	21
7	Budafoki LC	12	+3	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · iváncsa winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Iváncsa a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Iváncsa v Budafoki LC~~2.37 – 1.36

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 19 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 21 v 18~~4 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Iváncsa win	59%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Budafoki LC win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Iváncsa or draw	79%	–	–
Iváncsa clean sheet	27%	–	–
Budafoki LC clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.9 3.4 2.3 1 5.9 7.9 5.2 2.4 2 6.8 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 5.3 6.8 4.6 2.1 4 3.2 4.1 2.7 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Iváncsa down, Budafoki LC across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,570 NB III - Southwest matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.7% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Iváncsa at home: 3.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Budafoki LC away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Iváncsa, 1.36 for Budafoki LC. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~IVA 1–2 BUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southwest this season · since 19 Sept

IVÁNCSA

WWWLWW3–2 · 4–1 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 5–2 · 3–0

BUDAFOKI LC

WLLDLD2–1 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pécsi MFC	13	+36	37
2	Kaposvar	12	+18	25
3	Ferencváros II	12	+9	21
4	Iváncsa	12	+6	21
5	Majosi	12	+2	21
6	Dunaharaszti MTK	12	+4	20
7	Budafoki LC	12	+3	18
8	Siofok	12	+5	17
9	Érdi VSE	12	0	16
10	PTE-PEAC	12	−2	16
11	MTK Budapest II	11	+5	15
12	Budaörs	12	−19	12
13	Paksi SE II	12	+2	10
14	Sárbogárd	12	−28	5
15	Szekszárd	12	−41	0