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Budafoki LC v Majosi

Budafoki LC

3–3Full time

Majosi

NB III - Southwest · SAT 10 OCT · Promontor utcai Stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Budafoki LC 3–3 Majosi BUDAFOKI LC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Budafoki LC win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.946

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Budafoki LC win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Budafoki LC was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–21–33
1′KICK-OFF Budafoki LC v Majosi
3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Budafoki LC 1–0 Majosi
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Budafoki LC 2–0 Majosi
22′A goal for Budafoki LC on 8′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 86–9–5
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Budafoki LC win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Budafoki LC 3–0 Majosi
43′38′ and it is 3–0: Budafoki LC have scored. 3–0 · 97–2–1
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Budafoki LC win: 46% at kick-off, 97% now
45′We published Budafoki LC at 46%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–0 · 97–2–1
45′HALF-TIME Budafoki LC 3–0 Majosi
46′SECOND HALF Budafoki LC 3–0 Majosi
60′PENALTY MISSED · 60' Budafoki LC
64′Budafoki LC find the net on 60′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Budafoki LC 3–1 Majosi
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Budafoki LC 3–2 Majosi
83′78′ and it is 3–2: Majosi have scored. 3–2 · 89–10–1
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Budafoki LC win: 46% at kick-off, 89% now
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Budafoki LC 3–3 Majosi
FTFULL TIME Budafoki LC 3–3 Majosi
FTBudafoki LC 3–3 Majosi · Budafoki LC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Budafoki LC win46%

Draw21%

Majosi win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

Venue · Promontor utcai Stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · budafoki lc winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Budafoki LC a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Budafoki LC win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Majosi win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Budafoki LC or draw	67%	–	–
Budafoki LC clean sheet	19%	–	–
Majosi clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.8 4.0 3.5 2.0 1 4.8 8.2 6.6 3.8 2 5.0 7.9 6.6 3.8 3 3.4 5.4 4.5 2.6 4 2.9 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Budafoki LC down, Majosi across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,549 NB III - Southwest matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.9% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Budafoki LC at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Majosi away: 1.50 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Budafoki LC, 1.74 for Majosi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Southwest

BUDAFOKI LC

DWWWLL0–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 1–2

MAJOSI

WLWWWD3–0 · 0–5 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pécsi MFC	10	+26	28
2	Kaposvar	9	+9	16
3	PTE-PEAC	9	+6	16
4	Budafoki LC	9	+5	16
5	Ferencváros II	9	+6	15
6	Iváncsa	9	+1	15
7	Siofok	9	+5	14
8	Majosi	9	0	14
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	10	−2	14
10	MTK Budapest II	8	+7	12
11	Érdi VSE	9	0	12
12	Budaörs	9	−10	11
13	Paksi SE II	10	−4	6
14	Sárbogárd	10	−15	5
15	Szekszárd	9	−34	0