Budafoki LC v Érdi VSE

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Budafoki LC win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Budafoki LC was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–21–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Budafoki LC v Érdi VSE
4. 41′A goal for Érdi VSE on 41′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–23–60
5. 41′We said Budafoki LC at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–23–60
6. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Budafoki LC 0–1 Érdi VSE
7. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Budafoki LC win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Érdi VSE win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Budafoki LC win 40%)
9. 45′HALF-TIME Budafoki LC 0–1 Érdi VSE
10. 46′SECOND HALF Budafoki LC 0–1 Érdi VSE
11. 48′We said Budafoki LC at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
12. 57′Érdi VSE score on 57′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
13. 57′We said Budafoki LC at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–8–89
14. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Budafoki LC 0–2 Érdi VSE
15. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Budafoki LC win: 47% at kick-off, 3% now
16. 58′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 0–2 · 2–8–89
17. 68′Budafoki LC find the net on 67′. 1–2. 1–2 · 6–22–71
18. 68′We said Budafoki LC at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–22–71
19. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Budafoki LC 1–2 Érdi VSE
20. 91′A goal for Budafoki LC on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 5–91–4
21. 91′4 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 5–91–4
22. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Budafoki LC 2–2 Érdi VSE
23. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Érdi VSE win 95%)
24. FTFULL TIME Budafoki LC 2–2 Érdi VSE
25. FTBudafoki LC 2–2 Érdi VSE · Budafoki LC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.