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Vasas II v Bekescsaba 1912

Vasas II
2–2Full time
Bekescsaba 1912

NB III - Southeast · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56
Vasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912 VASAS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vasas II win46%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.893
The market’s Brier score0.898

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vasas II win at 46%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vasas II was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Vasas II v Bekescsaba 1912
  4. 16′A goal for Bekescsaba 1912 on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 22–23–56
  5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Vasas II 0–1 Bekescsaba 1912
  6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 22% now
  7. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Bekescsaba 1912 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Vasas II win 22%)
  8. 17′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–56
  9. 25′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
  10. 26′Vasas II score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–29–29
  11. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Vasas II 1–1 Bekescsaba 1912
  12. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 42% now
  13. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Vasas II win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Bekescsaba 1912 win 29%)
  14. 35′Vasas II find the net on 35′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–19–9
  15. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
  16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 72% now
  17. 36′We published Vasas II at 46%. Our model now makes it 72%. 2–1 · 72–19–9
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
  20. 50′We published Vasas II at 46%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–7
  21. 51′A goal for Bekescsaba 1912 on 51′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 35–39–25
  22. 51′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 35–39–25
  23. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Vasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912
  24. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 35% now
  25. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vasas II win 35%)
  26. 54′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–41–24
  27. 64′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–50–21
  28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  29. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  30. 81′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–11
  31. 85′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–7
  32. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
  33. 92′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–3
  34. FTFULL TIME Vasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912
  35. FTVasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912 · Vasas II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vasas II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vasas II 46%, draw 23%, Bekescsaba 1912 30%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Vasas II v Bekescsaba 1912Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vasas II win46%
Draw23%
Bekescsaba 1912 win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vasas II

Bekescsaba 1912

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Southeast

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Vasas II11+1117
11Bekescsaba 191211+113

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vasas ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
46% The market52%
Us46%
Market52%

We make Vasas II a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vasas II v Bekescsaba 19121.72 – 1.34
Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 29 AugW4 D0 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 17 v 135 v 11
The market · Vasas II win52% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 10:40
Our probability · Vasas II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vasas II win46%52%−6
Draw23%24%−1
Bekescsaba 1912 win30%23%+7
Over 2.5 goals58%60%−2
Both teams to score59%61%−2
Over 1.5 goals80%81%−1
Over 3.5 goals37%39%−2
Vasas II or draw70%77%−7
Vasas II clean sheet27%––
Bekescsaba 1912 clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 5.2 6.4 4.3 1 8.2 10.6 6.9 3.2 2 6.9 8.9 5.8 2.7 3 4.0 5.1 3.4 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vasas II down, Bekescsaba 1912 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsBEK 2–1 VAS · VAS 1–2 BEK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 29 Aug

VASAS II

WLWWWL3–0 · 0–2 · 6–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 0–1

BEKESCSABA 1912

DDWWLW3–3 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Gyulai Termál11+3033
2III. Kerületi TUE11+1125
3ESMTK11+2024
4Újpest II11+1018
5Vasas II11+1117
6Szeged-Csanád II11+517
7Csepel11+414
8Monori Se11+214
9Szolnoki MAV FC11−114
10Dabas11−1114
11Bekescsaba 191211+113
12Honvéd II11011
13Sándorfalva11−2010
14Hódmezővásárhely11−118
15BKV Előre11−295
16Szegedi VSE11−223

The competition's standings before kick-off.