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Vasas II v Bekescsaba 1912
Vasas II
Bekescsaba 1912NB III - Southeast · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Vasas II win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Vasas II was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Vasas II v Bekescsaba 1912
- 16′A goal for Bekescsaba 1912 on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 22–23–56
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Vasas II 0–1 Bekescsaba 1912
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 22% now
- 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Bekescsaba 1912 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Vasas II win 22%)
- 17′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–56
- 25′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
- 26′Vasas II score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–29–29
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Vasas II 1–1 Bekescsaba 1912
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 42% now
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Vasas II win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Bekescsaba 1912 win 29%)
- 35′Vasas II find the net on 35′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–19–9
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 72% now
- 36′We published Vasas II at 46%. Our model now makes it 72%. 2–1 · 72–19–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
- 46′SECOND HALF Vasas II 2–1 Bekescsaba 1912
- 50′We published Vasas II at 46%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–7
- 51′A goal for Bekescsaba 1912 on 51′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 35–39–25
- 51′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 35–39–25
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Vasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 35% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vasas II win 35%)
- 54′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–41–24
- 64′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–50–21
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 81′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–11
- 85′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–7
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Vasas II win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
- 92′We said Vasas II at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–3
- FTFULL TIME Vasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912
- FTVasas II 2–2 Bekescsaba 1912 · Vasas II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassVasas II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Vasas II 46%, draw 23%, Bekescsaba 1912 30%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Vasas II win46%
Bekescsaba 1912 win30%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00
RoundSoutheast · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Vasas IIMIN
Bekescsaba 1912Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Vasas II
Bekescsaba 1912
Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Southeast
Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Southeast
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Vasas II a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas II win | 46% | 52% | −6 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Bekescsaba 1912 win | 30% | 23% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 81% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Vasas II or draw | 70% | 77% | −7 |
| Vasas II clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Bekescsaba 1912 clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 29 Aug
VASAS II
BEKESCSABA 1912
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 11 | +30 | 33 |
| 2 | III. Kerületi TUE | 11 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 | ESMTK | 11 | +20 | 24 |
| 4 | Újpest II | 11 | +10 | 18 |
| 5 | Vasas II | 11 | +11 | 17 |
| 6 | Szeged-Csanád II | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Csepel | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Monori Se | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 11 | −1 | 14 |
| 10 | Dabas | 11 | −11 | 14 |
| 11 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Honvéd II | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Sándorfalva | 11 | −20 | 10 |
| 14 | Hódmezővásárhely | 11 | −11 | 8 |
| 15 | BKV Előre | 11 | −29 | 5 |
| 16 | Szegedi VSE | 11 | −22 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Gyulai Termál
III. Kerületi TUE
ESMTK
Újpest II
Szeged-Csanád II
Csepel
Monori Se
Szolnoki MAV FC
Dabas
Honvéd II
Sándorfalva
Hódmezővásárhely
BKV Előre
Szegedi VSE