Szolnoki MAV FC v Hódmezővásárhely prediction · NB III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Szolnoki MAV FCDrawHódmezővásárhely

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Szolnoki MAV FC 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Szolnoki MAV FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Szolnoki MAV FC 49%, draw 21%, Hódmezővásárhely 30%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Szolnoki MAV FC v HódmezővásárhelyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the plans

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Szolnoki MAV FC win49%

Draw21%

Hódmezővásárhely win30%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 14

VenueTiszaligeti Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Szolnoki MAV FC

Hódmezővásárhely

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Szolnoki MAV FC	13	−3	14
14	Hódmezővásárhely	13	−12	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · szolnoki mav fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Szolnoki MAV FC a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. The market has not priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Szolnoki MAV FC v Hódmezővásárhely~~2.17 – 1.65

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 9~~11 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	US	MARKET	GAP
Szolnoki MAV FC win	49%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Hódmezővásárhely win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Szolnoki MAV FC or draw	70%	–	–
Szolnoki MAV FC clean sheet	20%	–	–
Hódmezővásárhely clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market has not priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.7 3.9 3.2 1 4.9 8.1 6.4 3.5 2 5.2 8.1 6.5 3.6 3 3.6 5.7 4.6 2.6 4 2.0 3.2 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Szolnoki MAV FC down, Hódmezővásárhely across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 821 NB III - Southeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.7% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.83 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Szolnoki MAV FC at home: 2.33 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hódmezővásárhely away: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Szolnoki MAV FC, 1.65 for Hódmezővásárhely. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HOD 3–1 SZO · SZO 2–2 HOD · HOD 2–1 SZO · SZO 1–3 HOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept

SZOLNOKI MAV FC

DLLDLL4–4 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–3

HÓDMEZŐVÁSÁRHELY

LLDDLD1–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	13	+34	39
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	13	+10	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	13	+8	23
5	Csepel	13	+7	20
6	Vasas II	13	+11	19
7	Újpest II	12	+10	19
8	Monori Se	13	−1	15
9	Dabas	13	−12	15
10	Bekescsaba 1912	13	0	14
11	Szolnoki MAV FC	13	−3	14
12	Honvéd II	13	−2	12
13	Sándorfalva	13	−22	11
14	Hódmezővásárhely	13	−12	9
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6