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Sándorfalva v Vasas II

Sándorfalva

1–0Full time

Vasas II

NB III - Southeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Sándorfalva 1–0 Vasas II VASAS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vasas II win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.128

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sándorfalva win17%

Draw18%

Vasas II win64%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vasas ii winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Vasas II a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sándorfalva win	17%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Vasas II win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Sándorfalva or draw	36%	–	–
Sándorfalva clean sheet	10%	–	–
Vasas II clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%

0123450 3.3 7.4 8.4 6.5 4.0 1 3.6 8.0 9.2 7.1 4.3 2.12 2.1 4.6 5.2 4.0 2.4 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sándorfalva down, Vasas II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 799 NB III - Southeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sándorfalva at home: 0.60 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 5). Vasas II away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Sándorfalva, 2.38 for Vasas II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2023

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast

SÁNDORFALVA

LLLLDW0–3 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

VASAS II

LWLWWW0–1 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 6–0 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	10	+29	30
2	III. Kerületi TUE	10	+11	24
3	ESMTK	10	+17	21
4	Újpest II	10	+11	18
5	Vasas II	10	+12	17
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	+5	16
7	Monori Se	10	+4	14
8	Csepel	10	+4	13
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	10	−1	13
10	Dabas	10	−11	13
11	Honvéd II	10	+3	11
12	Bekescsaba 1912	10	−1	10
13	Hódmezővásárhely	10	−11	7
14	Sándorfalva	10	−21	7
15	BKV Előre	10	−29	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	−22	2