Sándorfalva v Dabas prediction · NB III - Southeast

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Sándorfalva 0–0 Dabas DABAS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dabas win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.864

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Dabas just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Sándorfalva 36%, draw 24%, Dabas 40%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Sándorfalva v DabasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sándorfalva win36%

Draw24%

Dabas win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sándorfalva

Dabas

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Dabas	12	−12	14
13	Sándorfalva	12	−22	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dabas winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Dabas a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sándorfalva v Dabas~~1.47 – 1.57

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 10 v 14~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dabas win

Published at 39%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sándorfalva win	36%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Dabas win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Sándorfalva or draw	60%	–	–
Sándorfalva clean sheet	22%	–	–
Dabas clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.3 7.6 5.9 3.1 1 7.1 11.0 8.3 4.4 2 5.2 7.8 6.0 3.2 3 2.6 3.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sándorfalva down, Dabas across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 815 NB III - Southeast matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sándorfalva at home: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Dabas away: 1.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Sándorfalva, 1.57 for Dabas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept

SÁNDORFALVA

LLDWWL1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

DABAS

LLLWDL0–5 · 0–1 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	12	+33	36
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	12	+11	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	12	+7	20
5	Újpest II	12	+10	19
6	Vasas II	12	+11	18
7	Csepel	12	+6	17
8	Bekescsaba 1912	12	+1	14
9	Monori Se	12	−1	14
10	Szolnoki MAV FC	12	−2	14
11	Dabas	12	−12	14
12	Honvéd II	12	−2	11
13	Sándorfalva	12	−22	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	12	−12	8
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6