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Monori Se v Bekescsaba 1912

Monori Se

0–2Full time

Bekescsaba 1912

NB III - Southeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Monori Se 0–2 Bekescsaba 1912 MONORI SE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Monori Se win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.765

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Monori Se win at 47%.
1′KICK-OFF Monori Se v Bekescsaba 1912
2′Much as we predicted: Monori Se was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–24–29
45′HALF-TIME Monori Se 0–0 Bekescsaba 1912
46′SECOND HALF Monori Se 0–0 Bekescsaba 1912
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Monori Se win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Monori Se 0–1 Bekescsaba 1912
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Monori Se 0–2 Bekescsaba 1912
68′Bekescsaba 1912 find the net on 60′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–95
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Monori Se win: 47% at kick-off, 1% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Bekescsaba 1912 win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Monori Se win 1%)
88′We said Monori Se at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 0%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Monori Se 0–2 Bekescsaba 1912
FTMonori Se 0–2 Bekescsaba 1912 · Monori Se win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Monori Se win47%

Draw23%

Bekescsaba 1912 win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · monori se winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Monori Se a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Monori Se win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bekescsaba 1912 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Monori Se or draw	70%	–	–
Monori Se clean sheet	27%	–	–
Bekescsaba 1912 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 5.0 6.3 4.2 1 8.1 10.3 6.9 3.1 2 6.9 8.9 5.9 2.7 3 4.1 5.2 3.5 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Monori Se down, Bekescsaba 1912 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 799 NB III - Southeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Monori Se at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bekescsaba 1912 away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Monori Se, 1.35 for Bekescsaba 1912. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEK 5–1 MON · MON 0–2 BEK

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast

MONORI SE

WDWDDD4–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–4 · 1–1 · 2–2

BEKESCSABA 1912

LDDWWL0–2 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	10	+29	30
2	III. Kerületi TUE	10	+11	24
3	ESMTK	10	+17	21
4	Újpest II	10	+11	18
5	Vasas II	10	+12	17
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	+5	16
7	Monori Se	10	+4	14
8	Csepel	10	+4	13
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	10	−1	13
10	Dabas	10	−11	13
11	Honvéd II	10	+3	11
12	Bekescsaba 1912	10	−1	10
13	Hódmezővásárhely	10	−11	7
14	Sándorfalva	10	−21	7
15	BKV Előre	10	−29	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	−22	2