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III. Kerületi TUE v Szolnoki MAV FC

III. Kerületi TUE

1–1Full time

Szolnoki MAV FC

NB III - Southeast · SAT 10 OCT · Hevizi uti Stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

III. Kerületi TUE 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC III. KERÜLETI TUE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said III. Kerületi TUE win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.267

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said III. Kerületi TUE win at 73%.
1′KICK-OFF III. Kerületi TUE v Szolnoki MAV FC
2′Little has changed for our model: III. Kerületi TUE 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 73–15–12
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' III. Kerületi TUE 1–0 Szolnoki MAV FC
42′A goal for III. Kerületi TUE on 30′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–11–3
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' III. Kerületi TUE win: 73% at kick-off, 86% now
45′HALF-TIME III. Kerületi TUE 1–0 Szolnoki MAV FC
46′SECOND HALF III. Kerületi TUE 1–0 Szolnoki MAV FC
51′We said III. Kerületi TUE at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–11–3
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' III. Kerületi TUE 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
90′73′ and it is 1–1: Szolnoki MAV FC have scored. 1–1 · 0–100–0
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' III. Kerületi TUE win: 73% at kick-off, 0% now
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 100% (was III. Kerületi TUE win 0%)
FTFULL TIME III. Kerületi TUE 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
FTIII. Kerületi TUE 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC · III. Kerületi TUE win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

III. Kerületi TUE win73%

Draw15%

Szolnoki MAV FC win13%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

Venue · Hevizi uti Stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · iii. kerületi tue winPublished 10 Oct 11:44

73% The market–

Us73%

We make III. Kerületi TUE a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
III. Kerületi TUE win	73%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Szolnoki MAV FC win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
III. Kerületi TUE or draw	87%	–	–
III. Kerületi TUE clean sheet	34%	–	–
Szolnoki MAV FC clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.2 2.4 1 5.9 6.2 3.4 2 7.9 8.3 4.5 3 7.3 7.7 4.2 4 5.2 5.4 3.0 5 3.0 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+III. Kerületi TUE down, Szolnoki MAV FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 799 NB III - Southeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

III. Kerületi TUE at home: 1.83 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Szolnoki MAV FC away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.85 goals for III. Kerületi TUE, 1.10 for Szolnoki MAV FC. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2023

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast

III. KERÜLETI TUE

WLWWWL2–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

SZOLNOKI MAV FC

DDWDLL2–2 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 4–4 · 1–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	10	+29	30
2	III. Kerületi TUE	10	+11	24
3	ESMTK	10	+17	21
4	Újpest II	10	+11	18
5	Vasas II	10	+12	17
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	+5	16
7	Monori Se	10	+4	14
8	Csepel	10	+4	13
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	10	−1	13
10	Dabas	10	−11	13
11	Honvéd II	10	+3	11
12	Bekescsaba 1912	10	−1	10
13	Hódmezővásárhely	10	−11	7
14	Sándorfalva	10	−21	7
15	BKV Előre	10	−29	4
16	Szegedi VSE	10	−22	2