III. Kerületi TUE v Monori Se prediction · NB III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

III. Kerületi TUEDrawMonori Se

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · III. Kerületi TUE 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

III. Kerületi TUE are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: III. Kerületi TUE 51%, draw 24%, Monori Se 25%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on III. Kerületi TUE v Monori SeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

III. Kerületi TUE win51%

Draw24%

Monori Se win25%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 14

VenueHevizi uti Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

III. Kerületi TUE

Monori Se

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	III. Kerületi TUE	13	+10	26
8	Monori Se	13	−1	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · iii. kerületi tue winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make III. Kerületi TUE a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · III. Kerületi TUE v Monori Se~~1.73 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 26 v 15~~3 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
III. Kerületi TUE win	51%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Monori Se win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
III. Kerületi TUE or draw	75%	–	–
III. Kerületi TUE clean sheet	33%	–	–
Monori Se clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.4 6.4 3.7 1 9.9 11.2 6.2 2.4 2 8.5 9.3 5.2 2.0 3 4.9 5.4 3.0 4 2.2 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+III. Kerületi TUE down, Monori Se across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 821 NB III - Southeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.7% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

III. Kerületi TUE at home: 1.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Monori Se away: 2.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for III. Kerületi TUE, 1.12 for Monori Se. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MON 2–2 III · III 1–2 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept

III. KERÜLETI TUE

WWLDDL1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

MONORI SE

DDDLLD4–4 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	13	+34	39
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	13	+10	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	13	+8	23
5	Csepel	13	+7	20
6	Vasas II	13	+11	19
7	Újpest II	12	+10	19
8	Monori Se	13	−1	15
9	Dabas	13	−12	15
10	Bekescsaba 1912	13	0	14
11	Szolnoki MAV FC	13	−3	14
12	Honvéd II	13	−2	12
13	Sándorfalva	13	−22	11
14	Hódmezővásárhely	13	−12	9
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6