Hódmezővásárhely v Honvéd II prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Hódmezővásárhely 2–2 Honvéd II HONVÉD II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Honvéd II win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.842

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Honvéd II just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hódmezővásárhely 37%, draw 25%, Honvéd II 38%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Hódmezővásárhely v Honvéd IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hódmezővásárhely win37%

Draw25%

Honvéd II win38%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hódmezővásárhely

Honvéd II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southeast

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Honvéd II	12	−2	11
14	Hódmezővásárhely	12	−12	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · honvéd ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Honvéd II a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hódmezővásárhely v Honvéd II~~1.40 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 11~~14 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Honvéd II win

Published at 39%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hódmezővásárhely win	37%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Honvéd II win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Hódmezővásárhely or draw	62%	–	–
Hódmezővásárhely clean sheet	25%	–	–
Honvéd II clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.3 8.4 6.1 3.0 1 8.2 11.6 8.1 4.0 2 5.8 8.0 5.6 2.7 3 2.8 3.8 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hódmezővásárhely down, Honvéd II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 815 NB III - Southeast matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hódmezővásárhely at home: 1.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Honvéd II away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Hódmezővásárhely, 1.44 for Honvéd II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HON 0–1 HOD · HOD 1–0 HON · HOD 1–1 HON · HON 1–1 HOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept

HÓDMEZŐVÁSÁRHELY

WLLDDL3–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

HONVÉD II

LWLWLL0–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	12	+33	36
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	12	+11	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	12	+7	20
5	Újpest II	12	+10	19
6	Vasas II	12	+11	18
7	Csepel	12	+6	17
8	Bekescsaba 1912	12	+1	14
9	Monori Se	12	−1	14
10	Szolnoki MAV FC	12	−2	14
11	Dabas	12	−12	14
12	Honvéd II	12	−2	11
13	Sándorfalva	12	−22	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	12	−12	8
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6